Prediction: Morton vs Ayr
- Ayr1-1Morton
- Ayr0-1Morton
- Morton1-1Ayr
- Ayr2-1Morton
- Morton2-2Ayr
- Morton2-1Ayr
| Morton | Draw | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 30% | 42% |
| Market | 29% | 27% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Morton: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morton | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Morton 2–3–1 Ayr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Morton |
| 21/03/26 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Morton |
| 27/12/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ayr |
| 18/10/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Morton |
| 23/08/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Ayr |
| 08/03/25 Scotland Championship | Morton | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ayr |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Raith | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Partick | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Morton | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Raith | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Dunfermline | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Livingston | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ayr (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morton vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ayr win (43%). Probabilities: Morton 28%, draw 29%, Ayr 43%.
How many goals are expected in Morton vs Ayr?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Morton 1.03 · Ayr 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Morton vs Ayr?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.