Football · Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 · 26/09, 20:30

Prediction: Goiania vs Tupy de Jussara

Team pages: Goiania

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

Goiania1.15

Tupy de Jussara0.71

1X2

46% 31% 23%

Goiania Draw Tupy de Jussara

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Goiania 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDLLDW

Tupy de Jussara 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLWDWDLL

Head-to-head

Goiania 0–1–0 Tupy de Jussara (1 last)

Tupy de Jussara0-0Goiania

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goiania 1477 · Tupy de Jussara 1499

	Goiania	Draw	Tupy de Jussara
Our model	45%	34%	21%
Market	47%	29%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Goiania	Tupy de Jussara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	0/78/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.9	4.5 / 11.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:20 +6’	1.90	3.10	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Goiania 0–1–0 Tupy de Jussara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	Tupy de Jussara	0-0 HT 0-0	Goiania

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rio Verde GO	14	8	4	2	21	8	28
2	Bom Jesus	14	6	6	2	17	11	24
3	Goianesia	14	6	6	2	18	16	24
4	Morrinhos	14	5	4	5	20	19	19
5	Mineiros	14	5	4	5	15	14	19
6	Goiania	14	4	6	4	11	12	18
7	Tupy de Jussara	14	4	5	5	12	12	17
8	Sao Luis GO	14	3	6	5	16	20	15
9	Gremio Anapolis	14	2	5	7	15	23	11
10	Trindade	14	1	6	7	11	21	9

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Goiania	Tupy de Jussara
Morrinhos	2-1 W	2-1 W
Bom Jesus	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goiania

DLLWDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Morrinhos Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
20/09	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/09	Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	2-0	2-3	1	5	L
05/09	Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
29/08	Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/08	Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
22/08	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Morrinhos Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
13/08	Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	1-1	5	7	D

Tupy de Jussara

DDWLWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Mineiros Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/09	Morrinhos Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Gremio Anapolis Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Morrinhos Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-1	3-1	11	5	W
27/08	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Crixas Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Mineiros Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/08	Gremio Anapolis Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	1-1	12	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goiania vs Tupy de Jussara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Goiania win (46%). Probabilities: Goiania 46%, draw 31%, Tupy de Jussara 23%.

How many goals are expected in Goiania vs Tupy de Jussara?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Goiania 1.15 · Tupy de Jussara 0.71), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Goiania vs Tupy de Jussara?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.