Football · Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 · 11/10, 21:00
Prediction: Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis
Team pages: Morrinhos · Gremio Anapolis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Morrinhos1.36
Gremio Anapolis1.36
1X2
Morrinhos
Draw
Gremio Anapolis
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Morrinhos
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Gremio Anapolis
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Morrinhos
2–4–0
Gremio Anapolis
(6 last)
- Gremio Anapolis0-1Morrinhos
- Morrinhos2-2Gremio Anapolis
- Gremio Anapolis0-0Morrinhos
- Morrinhos4-0Gremio Anapolis
- Morrinhos0-0Gremio Anapolis
- Gremio Anapolis0-0Morrinhos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Morrinhos 1477 · Gremio Anapolis 1448
| Morrinhos | Draw | Gremio Anapolis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Morrinhos: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morrinhos | Gremio Anapolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Morrinhos 2–4–0 Gremio Anapolis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 | Gremio Anapolis | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Morrinhos |
| 30/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 | Morrinhos | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Gremio Anapolis |
| 22/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 | Gremio Anapolis | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Morrinhos |
| 22/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Goiano | Morrinhos | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Gremio Anapolis |
| 13/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Goiano | Morrinhos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio Anapolis |
| 11/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Goiano | Gremio Anapolis | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Morrinhos |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde GO | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Bom Jesus | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Goianesia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 30 |
| 4 | Mineiros | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Morrinhos | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 6 | Tupy de Jussara | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 7 | Goiania | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Sao Luis GO | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 16 |
| 9 | Gremio Anapolis | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 14 |
| 10 | Trindade | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Morrinhos | Gremio Anapolis |
|---|---|---|
| Bom Jesus | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Mineiros | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Sao Luis GO | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Goiania | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Rio Verde GO | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Trindade | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Tupy de Jussara | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Goianesia | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Morrinhos (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morrinhos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Mineiros Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 24/09 | Goiania Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Tupy de Jussara Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Tupy de Jussara Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 27/08 | Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
Gremio Anapolis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Goiania Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/09 | Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Mineiros Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Tupy de Jussara Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/08 | Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Morrinhos win (36%). Probabilities: Morrinhos 36%, draw 28%, Gremio Anapolis 36%.
How many goals are expected in Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Morrinhos 1.36 · Gremio Anapolis 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Morrinhos vs Gremio Anapolis?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.