Football · Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2 · 11/10, 20:30

Prediction: Goiania vs Mineiros

Team pages: Goiania · Mineiros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

Goiania1.02

Mineiros0.9

1X2

37% 32% 31%

Goiania Draw Mineiros

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Goiania 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDWDDL

Mineiros 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Goiania 1–0 Mineiros (1 last)

Mineiros0-1Goiania

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goiania 1492 · Mineiros 1568

	Goiania	Draw	Mineiros
Our model	36%	34%	30%
Market	38%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mineiros (rating 1492 vs 1568).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Goiania	Mineiros
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	1.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:19 +18’	2.35	3.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Goiania 1–0–0 Mineiros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	Mineiros	0-1 HT 0-0	Goiania

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rio Verde GO	17	9	6	2	26	12	33
2	Bom Jesus	17	8	7	2	24	15	31
3	Goianesia	17	8	6	3	24	19	30
4	Mineiros	17	8	4	5	19	14	28
5	Morrinhos	17	6	4	7	24	24	22
6	Tupy de Jussara	18	5	7	6	18	19	22
7	Goiania	17	4	8	5	13	18	20
8	Sao Luis GO	17	3	7	7	19	26	16
9	Gremio Anapolis	17	3	5	9	20	27	14
10	Trindade	18	2	6	10	15	28	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Goiania	Mineiros
Gremio Anapolis	0-4 L	3-0 W
Sao Luis GO	1-1 D	0-2 L
Tupy de Jussara	1-1 D	1-0 W
Morrinhos	2-1 W	1-0 W
Bom Jesus	1-1 D	1-0 W
Rio Verde GO	1-2 L	1-1 D
Goianesia	2-3 L	1-0 W
Trindade	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mineiros (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goiania

WDDLLDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Gremio Anapolis Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
03/10	Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
26/09	Tupy de Jussara Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
24/09	Morrinhos Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
20/09	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/09	Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/09	Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	2-0	2-3	1	5	L
05/09	Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
29/08	Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/08	Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

Mineiros

WWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Trindade Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	Morrinhos Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Goianesia Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
24/09	Tupy de Jussara Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Gremio Anapolis Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
10/09	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Rio Verde GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Bom Jesus Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	2-1	2-1	1	5	W
27/08	Sao Luis GO Brazil Campeonato Goiano 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goiania vs Mineiros?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Goiania win (37%). Probabilities: Goiania 37%, draw 32%, Mineiros 31%.

How many goals are expected in Goiania vs Mineiros?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Goiania 1.02 · Mineiros 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Goiania vs Mineiros?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.