Prediction: Lugano vs St Gallen
Team pages: Lugano · St Gallen
- Lugano1-2St Gallen
- St Gallen1-1Lugano
- Lugano1-3St Gallen
- St Gallen1-0Lugano
- Lugano1-1St Gallen
- St Gallen2-1Lugano
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours St Gallen: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lugano | St Gallen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lugano 0–2–4 St Gallen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-2 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
| 17/03/26 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 26/11/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-3 HT 1-1 | St Gallen |
| 13/09/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 13/04/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | St Gallen |
| 05/02/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lugano |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | Basel | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Servette | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 11 | Lucerne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lugano | St Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| FC Zurich | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Vaduz | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lugano (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lugano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Vedeggio Switzerland Cup |
5-0 | 10-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 13/08 | NSI Runavik UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | NSI Runavik UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | KF Dukagjini UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | KF Dukagjini UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | FC Vaduz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Heidenheim Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
St Gallen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Thalwil Switzerland Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/08 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Norwich Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Lyon Europe Friendlies |
2-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lugano vs St Gallen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lugano win (48%). Probabilities: Lugano 48%, draw 25%, St Gallen 27%.
How many goals are expected in Lugano vs St Gallen?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Lugano 1.97 · St Gallen 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lugano vs St Gallen?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.