Football · USA USL League Two · 04/07, 01:00

Prediction: Sporting JAX II vs Brave SC

Expected goals: 2.76 (Sporting JAX II 0.87 · Brave SC 1.89). The model gives 16% home, 23% draw, 61% away. Under 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Sporting JAX II with 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Brave SC has piled up 7-3-0 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Sporting JAX II won 0 and Brave SC 0, with 1 draw.

61%2
16% 23% 61%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting JAX II 1452 · Brave SC 1588
Sporting JAX IIDrawBrave SC
Our model16%24%60%
Market17%22%61%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.76Sporting JAX II 0.87 · Brave SC 1.89
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brave SC (rating 1452 vs 1588).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sporting JAX IIBrave SC
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.13.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.31.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 41.3 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 03.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting JAX II 010 Brave SC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
09/06/26
USA USL League Two
Brave SC0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting JAX II

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Southeast Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brave SC 9540 231019
2 Nona FC 10442 20916
3 Inter Gainesville KF 9324 121611
4 Shark Coast FC 11263 182312
5 Brooke House FC 12345 172513
6 Sporting JAX II 11164 5129

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSporting JAX IIBrave SC
Inter Gainesville KF 1-4 L 4-2 W
Shark Coast FC 1-1 D 3-3 D
Nona FC 0-3 L 2-1 W
Brooke House FC 0-1 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Brave SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting JAX II

WDLLDDDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Inter Gainesville KF
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-4 L
24/06 Shark Coast FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-1 74 D
18/06 Nona FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-3 17 L
14/06 Inter Gainesville KF
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
11/06 Shark Coast FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 D
09/06 Brave SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 33 D
04/06 Brooke House FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 56 L
31/05 Inter Gainesville KF
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-1 L
27/05 Nona FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 28 D
22/05 Brooke House FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 65 W

Brave SC

WWDWWDWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Brooke House FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 4-1 W
25/06 Inter Gainesville KF
USA USL League Two
2-1 4-2 26 W
21/06 Shark Coast FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 3-3 D
15/06 Nona FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-1 W
09/06 Sporting JAX II
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 33 D
06/06 Brooke House FC
USA USL League Two
3-0 3-0 W
28/05 Inter Gainesville KF
USA USL League Two
1-0 4-0 W
23/05 Brooke House FC
USA USL League Two
2-1 2-2 25 D
13/07 Brooke House FC
USA USL League Two
5-1 7-1 W
10/07 Inter Gainesville KF
USA USL League Two
4-0 6-0 21 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting JAX II vs Brave SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brave SC win (61%). Probabilities: Sporting JAX II 16%, draw 23%, Brave SC 61%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting JAX II vs Brave SC?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Sporting JAX II 0.87 · Brave SC 1.89), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting JAX II vs Brave SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.