Prediction: Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos
Expected goals: 3.92 (Houston FC 2.28 · Hill Country Lobos 1.64). The model gives 52% home, 21% draw, 27% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Houston FC is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hill Country Lobos 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Houston FC and 1 for Hill Country Lobos.
| Houston FC | Draw | Hill Country Lobos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Market | 52% | 21% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Houston FC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston FC | Hill Country Lobos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston FC 2–0–1 Hill Country Lobos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/25 USA USL League Two | Hill Country Lobos | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Houston FC |
| 27/06/24 USA USL League Two | Hill Country Lobos | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Houston FC |
| 09/06/24 USA USL League Two | Houston FC | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Hill Country Lobos |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Lone Star Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laredo Heat | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 26 |
| 2 | GFI Academy | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 17 | 21 |
| 3 | AHFC Royals | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Lonestar SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 19 |
| 5 | San Antonio FC II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 14 |
| 6 | Houston FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 9 |
| 7 | Hill Country Lobos | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 8 | Twin City Toucans | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 7 |
| 9 | AC Houston Sur | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston FC | Hill Country Lobos |
|---|---|---|
| Twin City Toucans | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Lonestar SC | 1-2 L | 3-5 L |
| AC Houston Sur | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| San Antonio FC II | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| GFI Academy | 3-6 L | 0-4 L |
| Laredo Heat | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| AHFC Royals | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Twin City Toucans USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Lonestar SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | AC Houston Sur USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | San Antonio FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | GFI Academy USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Twin City Toucans USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Laredo Heat USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | GFI Academy USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | AHFC Royals USA USL League Two |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Hill Country Lobos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lonestar SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | AC Houston Sur USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Laredo Heat USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | GFI Academy USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/06 | Twin City Toucans USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | AHFC Royals USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | San Antonio FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | GFI Academy USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | San Antonio FC II USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | AHFC Royals USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston FC win (52%). Probabilities: Houston FC 52%, draw 21%, Hill Country Lobos 27%.
How many goals are expected in Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Houston FC 2.28 · Hill Country Lobos 1.64), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.