Prediction: FC Tucson vs Stars FC
Expected goals: 2.77 (FC Tucson 1.78 · Stars FC 0.99). The model gives 55% home, 24% draw, 21% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves FC Tucson with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Stars FC has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for FC Tucson and 0 for Stars FC, with 1 draw.
| FC Tucson | Draw | Stars FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tucson | Stars FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tucson 1–1–0 Stars FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/25 USA USL League Two | FC Tucson | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stars FC |
| 21/05/25 USA USL League Two | Stars FC | 2-5 HT 1-2 | FC Tucson |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Southwest Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventura County Fusion | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Redlands FC | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Stars FC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | FC Tucson | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Capo FC II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 11 |
| 6 | City SC San Diego | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 12 |
| 7 | Southern California Eagles | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 8 |
| 8 | AMSG FC | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tucson | Stars FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ventura County Fusion | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| City SC San Diego | 3-1 W | 5-2 W |
| AMSG FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Southern California Eagles | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Redlands FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tucson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Capo FC II USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Stars FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | City SC San Diego USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 08/06 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | Southern California Eagles USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | AMSG FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Redlands FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | FC Tucson USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/07 | Ventura County Fusion USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tucson vs Stars FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tucson win (55%). Probabilities: FC Tucson 55%, draw 24%, Stars FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tucson vs Stars FC?
The model expects 2.77 goals (FC Tucson 1.78 · Stars FC 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tucson vs Stars FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.