Prediction: Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock FC
Expected goals: 2.95 (Western Mass Pioneers 1.56 · Black Rock FC 1.39). The model gives 41% home, 25% draw, 34% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Western Mass Pioneers sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Black Rock FC arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Western Mass Pioneers won 3 and Black Rock FC 0, with 3 draws.
| Western Mass Pioneers | Draw | Black Rock FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 24% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Western Mass Pioneers: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Mass Pioneers | Black Rock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Mass Pioneers 3–3–0 Black Rock FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 USA USL League Two | Black Rock FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Western Mass Pioneers |
| 14/06/25 USA USL League Two | Western Mass Pioneers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Black Rock FC |
| 03/07/24 USA USL League Two | Black Rock FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Western Mass Pioneers |
| 01/06/24 USA USL League Two | Western Mass Pioneers | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Black Rock FC |
| 04/06/23 USA USL League Two | Western Mass Pioneers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Black Rock FC |
| 18/06/22 USA USL League Two | Western Mass Pioneers | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Black Rock FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | New England FC | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 13 |
| 7 | Connecticut Rush | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Mass Pioneers | Black Rock FC |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Bolts | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AC Connecticut | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Albany Rush | 3-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Connecticut Rush | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| New England FC | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Seacoast United Phantoms | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Black Rock FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Mass Pioneers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 04/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Black Rock FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 04/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Western Mass Pioneers win (41%). Probabilities: Western Mass Pioneers 41%, draw 25%, Black Rock FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock FC?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Western Mass Pioneers 1.56 · Black Rock FC 1.39), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.