Prediction: Tacoma Stars vs Snohomish United
Expected goals: 3.94 (Tacoma Stars 1.28 · Snohomish United 2.65). The model gives 16% home, 19% draw, 66% away. Over 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Tacoma Stars sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Snohomish United arrives on a 9-0-1 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tacoma Stars won 0 and Snohomish United 3.
| Tacoma Stars | Draw | Snohomish United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| Market | 16% | 19% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Snohomish United (rating 1467 vs 1605).
- H2H favours Snohomish United: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tacoma Stars | Snohomish United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2 | 2.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacoma Stars 0–0–3 Snohomish United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 USA USL League Two | Snohomish United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tacoma Stars |
| 10/07/25 USA USL League Two | Snohomish United | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Tacoma Stars |
| 12/05/25 USA USL League Two | Tacoma Stars | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Snohomish United |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northwest Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snohomish United | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Ballard FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Portland Bangers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Tacoma Stars | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 12 |
| 5 | Midlakes United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 10 |
| 6 | West Seattle Junction FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 9 |
| 7 | FC Olympia | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 10 |
| 8 | Bigfoot FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tacoma Stars | Snohomish United |
|---|---|---|
| West Seattle Junction FC | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Bigfoot FC | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Olympia | 5-4 W | 5-0 W |
| Ballard FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Portland Bangers | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Midlakes United | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Snohomish United (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tacoma Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/06 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 21/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Snohomish United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 11/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 5-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tacoma Stars vs Snohomish United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Snohomish United win (66%). Probabilities: Tacoma Stars 16%, draw 19%, Snohomish United 66%.
How many goals are expected in Tacoma Stars vs Snohomish United?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Tacoma Stars 1.28 · Snohomish United 2.65), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tacoma Stars vs Snohomish United?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.