Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: Borac Cacak vs FK Graficar Beograd

Team pages: Borac Cacak · FK Graficar Beograd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Borac Cacak1.62

FK Graficar Beograd0.74

1X2

58% 26% 16%

Borac Cacak Draw FK Graficar Beograd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Borac Cacak 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDLWWWWW

FK Graficar Beograd 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Borac Cacak 2–1–3 FK Graficar Beograd (6 last)

Borac Cacak3-0FK Graficar Beograd
Borac Cacak2-0FK Graficar Beograd
Borac Cacak0-0FK Graficar Beograd
FK Graficar Beograd3-1Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak1-2FK Graficar Beograd
FK Graficar Beograd3-1Borac Cacak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borac Cacak 1591 · FK Graficar Beograd 1461

	Borac Cacak	Draw	FK Graficar Beograd
Our model	57%	27%	16%
Market	58%	26%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Cacak (rating 1591 vs 1461).
H2H favours FK Graficar Beograd: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Borac Cacak	FK Graficar Beograd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	1.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:33 +3’	1.55	3.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Cacak 2–1–3 FK Graficar Beograd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Club Friendly List	Borac Cacak	3-0 HT 2-0	FK Graficar Beograd
07/05/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Graficar Beograd
22/11/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Graficar Beograd
21/08/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Graficar Beograd	3-1 HT 1-0	Borac Cacak
23/04/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Graficar Beograd
27/02/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Graficar Beograd	3-1 HT 1-0	Borac Cacak

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	6	5	0	1	12	7	15
2	Smederevo	6	3	3	0	11	6	12
3	FK Backa Topola	6	3	3	0	10	7	12
4	OFK Vrsac	6	4	0	2	9	6	12
5	Javor Ivanjica	6	3	2	1	15	6	11
6	FK Dubocica	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
7	FK Napredak	6	3	1	2	6	7	10
8	Spartak Subotica	6	2	3	1	14	11	9
9	Loznica	6	1	4	1	8	7	7
10	FK Vozdovac	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
11	Teleoptik	6	1	2	3	8	13	5
12	Bor 1919	6	1	2	3	5	11	5
13	FK Proleter 023	6	1	1	4	6	9	4
14	Jedinstvo UB	6	1	1	4	6	11	4
14	Metalac Gornji	6	1	1	4	6	11	4
14	FK Graficar Beograd	6	1	1	4	6	11	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borac Cacak	FK Graficar Beograd
FK Dubocica	2-0 W	1-4 L
FK Proleter 023	2-1 W	1-2 L
Loznica	3-2 W	2-2 D
FK Vozdovac	1-0 W	1-0 W
Smederevo	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Borac Cacak (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borac Cacak

DDWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
23/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
19/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
14/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
01/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
29/05	FK Usce Novi Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
17/05	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/05	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D

FK Graficar Beograd

WWWLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-4	6	6	L
24/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
19/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-2	1	6	D
14/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
09/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	5	8	L
02/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
29/05	FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
11/05	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-1	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borac Cacak vs FK Graficar Beograd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Cacak win (58%). Probabilities: Borac Cacak 58%, draw 26%, FK Graficar Beograd 16%.

How many goals are expected in Borac Cacak vs FK Graficar Beograd?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Borac Cacak 1.62 · FK Graficar Beograd 0.74), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Borac Cacak vs FK Graficar Beograd?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.