Football · Iceland Cup · 21/07, 21:30

Prediction: Fylkir Reykjavik vs Afturelding

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Fylkir Reykjavik1.96
Afturelding1.66
1X2
44% 23% 32%
Fylkir Reykjavik Draw Afturelding
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fylkir Reykjavik 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLLDWWLWWW
Afturelding 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Fylkir Reykjavik 1–1–1 Afturelding (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fylkir Reykjavik 1555 · Afturelding 1585
Fylkir ReykjavikDrawAfturelding
Our model44%23%32%
Market45%23%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fylkir ReykjavikAfturelding
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.83.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 11.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 7.52.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.24.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fylkir Reykjavik 111 Afturelding

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild
Afturelding5-1
HT 4-0
Fylkir Reykjavik
02/09/22
Iceland 1 Deild
Afturelding0-2
HT 0-2
Fylkir Reykjavik
01/07/22
Iceland 1 Deild
Fylkir Reykjavik2-2
HT 2-0
Afturelding

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFylkir ReykjavikAfturelding
Njardvik 4-1 W 2-0 W
IF Vestri 5-2 W 0-2 L
KF Aegir 4-2 W 8-1 W
HK Kopavogur 0-2 L 1-2 L
Grindavik 1-0 W 3-1 W
Leiknir Reykjavik 3-0 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fylkir Reykjavik

WLLDWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
4-0 4-1 94 W
13/07 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
5-0 5-2 24 W
03/07 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
4-1 4-2 32 W
26/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 0-2 57 L
21/06 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland 1 Deild
0-2 5-2 100 W
17/06 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 1-0 122 W
13/06 Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Iceland Cup
0-1 1-1 169 D
06/06 Throttur Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-1 1-3 74 L
31/05 Afturelding
Iceland 1 Deild
0-4 1-5 54 L
27/05 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 3-0 65 W

Afturelding

WWLWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Leiknir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 3-2 53 W
11/07 Volsungur
Iceland 1 Deild
4-1 6-1 49 W
03/07 IR Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
1-0 1-0 42 W
29/06 KF Aegir
Iceland 1 Deild
2-1 8-1 131 W
26/06 Njardvik
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 2-0 43 W
21/06 IF Vestri
Iceland 1 Deild
0-0 0-2 L
10/06 Stjarnan
Iceland Cup
0-1 3-1 09 W
05/06 HK Kopavogur
Iceland 1 Deild
1-1 1-2 135 L
31/05 Fylkir Reykjavik
Iceland 1 Deild
4-0 5-1 44 W
27/05 Grindavik
Iceland 1 Deild
2-0 3-1 126 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fylkir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fylkir Reykjavik win (44%). Probabilities: Fylkir Reykjavik 44%, draw 23%, Afturelding 32%.

How many goals are expected in Fylkir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Fylkir Reykjavik 1.96 · Afturelding 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fylkir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.