Football · Serbia Super Liga · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: Radnicki Nis vs Partizan Belgrade

Team pages: Radnicki Nis · Partizan Belgrade

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Radnicki Nis1.01

Partizan Belgrade1.61

1X2

23% 26% 51%

Radnicki Nis Draw Partizan Belgrade

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Radnicki Nis 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLLLW

Partizan Belgrade 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWWWL

Head-to-head

Radnicki Nis 1–2–3 Partizan Belgrade (6 last)

Partizan Belgrade0-0Radnicki Nis
Radnicki Nis2-2Partizan Belgrade
Radnicki Nis0-1Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade3-1Radnicki Nis
Radnicki Nis2-1Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade2-1Radnicki Nis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radnicki Nis 1507 · Partizan Belgrade 1574

	Radnicki Nis	Draw	Partizan Belgrade
Our model	23%	27%	50%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1507 vs 1574).
H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Radnicki Nis	Partizan Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.5 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.70

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +16’	3.90	3.70	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Radnicki Nis 1–2–3 Partizan Belgrade

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	0-0 HT 0-0	Radnicki Nis
24/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	Radnicki Nis	2-2 HT 1-1	Partizan Belgrade
21/12/24 Serbia Super Liga	Radnicki Nis	0-1 HT 0-1	Partizan Belgrade
04/12/24 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	3-1 HT 2-1	Radnicki Nis
11/12/23 Serbia Super Liga	Radnicki Nis	2-1 HT 0-0	Partizan Belgrade
13/08/23 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	2-1 HT 0-1	Radnicki Nis

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IMT Novi Belgrade	3	3	0	0	7	1	9
2	Crvena Zvezda	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
3	FK Cukaricki	3	2	0	1	5	1	6
4	OFK Beograd	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
5	Partizan Belgrade	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
6	FK Novi Pazar	3	1	1	1	2	4	4
7	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
8	Vojvodina	2	1	0	1	5	3	3
9	Radnicki Nis	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
10	Mladost Lucani	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	FK Radnik Surdulica	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	FK Zemun	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
13	FK Radnicki 1923	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
14	FK Macva Sabac	2	0	0	2	1	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Radnicki Nis	Partizan Belgrade
FK Zemun	1-0 W	2-2 D
Neftchi Baku	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Radnicki Nis

WWWWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
25/07	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
17/07	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/07	Neftchi Baku Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
07/07	FK Pribram Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
01/07	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
24/05	Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
16/05	FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/05	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
03/05	FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Partizan Belgrade

LWWDWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
30/07	UNA Strassen UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/07	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	3	12	W
23/07	UNA Strassen UEFA Conference League Qualifying	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
18/07	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
11/07	NK Nafta 1903 Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-1	3	3	W
10/07	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
06/07	Neftchi Baku Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
02/07	NK Aluminij Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
29/06	CSKA 1948 Sofia Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radnicki Nis vs Partizan Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partizan Belgrade win (51%). Probabilities: Radnicki Nis 23%, draw 26%, Partizan Belgrade 51%.

How many goals are expected in Radnicki Nis vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Radnicki Nis 1.01 · Partizan Belgrade 1.61), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Radnicki Nis vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.