Football · Serbia Super Liga · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda
Team pages: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo · Crvena Zvezda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo0.73
Crvena Zvezda2.35
1X2
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Draw
Crvena Zvezda
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Crvena Zvezda
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
0–1–5
Crvena Zvezda
(6 last)
- FK Zeleznicar Pancevo2-2Crvena Zvezda
- FK Zeleznicar Pancevo0-3Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda7-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
- FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1-3Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda2-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
- Crvena Zvezda3-0FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1455 · Crvena Zvezda 1576
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | Draw | Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 18% | 73% |
| Market | 9% | 18% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crvena Zvezda (rating 1455 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Crvena Zvezda: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | Crvena Zvezda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 2.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.6 | 3.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 0–1–5 Crvena Zvezda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 14/02/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 14/09/25 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 7-1 HT 4-0 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo |
| 26/02/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 27/09/24 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo |
| 14/04/24 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | FK Cukaricki | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | FK Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Partizan Belgrade | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 03/08 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 30/07 | Braga UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/07 | Braga UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | Debreceni VSC Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | NK Maribor Europe Friendlies |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/06 | Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
Crvena Zvezda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 29/07 | Larne FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Larne FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 29/06 | Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/06 | SKU Amstetten Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Crvena Zvezda win (73%). Probabilities: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 9%, draw 18%, Crvena Zvezda 73%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda?
The model expects 3.08 goals (FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 0.73 · Crvena Zvezda 2.35), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Crvena Zvezda?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.