Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: MSK Zilina vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Team pages: MSK Zilina · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

MSK Zilina2.13

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova1.37

1X2

54% 23% 24%

MSK Zilina Draw FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Zilina 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLWW

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWLD

Head-to-head

MSK Zilina 3–1–2 FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova (6 last)

MSK Zilina0-2FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova1-1MSK Zilina
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova1-5MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina2-0FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova2-0MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina3-0FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSK Zilina (rating 1557 vs 1498).
H2H favours MSK Zilina: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Zilina	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	1.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.91

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.96 → 1.96	Pinn 1.96
X	3.31 → 3.31	Pinn 3.31
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:09	1.96	3.31	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Zilina 3–1–2 FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
14/04/26 Slovakia Cup	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	1-1 HT 1-1	MSK Zilina
11/04/26 Slovakia Super Liga	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	1-5 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina
18/03/26 Slovakia Cup	MSK Zilina	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
30/11/25 Slovakia Super Liga	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	2-0 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina
24/08/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSK Zilina	6	4	1	1	15	12	13
2	Dunajska Streda	5	4	1	0	17	2	13
3	FC Spartak Trnava	6	4	1	1	13	5	13
4	Slovan Bratislava	5	4	0	1	15	3	12
5	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	6	3	1	2	10	12	10
6	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	6	2	1	3	5	7	7
7	MFK Skalica	6	2	1	3	9	15	7
8	FC Kosice	5	1	3	1	14	13	6
9	AS Trencin	5	1	2	2	7	11	5
10	Dukla Banska Bystrica	6	1	1	4	6	15	4
11	KFC Komarno	6	0	3	3	6	11	3
12	MFK Ruzomberok	6	0	1	5	4	15	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Zilina	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
MFK Zemplin Michalovce	1-0 W	2-0 W
FC Kosice	4-4 D	2-2 D
FC Spartak Trnava	0-1 L	0-3 L
Dunajska Streda	1-3 L	0-5 L
Slovan Bratislava	0-1 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Zilina (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Zilina

LLWLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	14	6	W
15/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	4-3	4	4	W
09/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
02/08	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/07	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	4-4	7	3	D
16/05	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
10/05	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
05/05	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	2-2	3-2	8	1	W
25/04	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
18/04	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

WLLWWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	2-2	9	8	D
22/08	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-5	7	5	L
15/08	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
08/08	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	4-1	5	8	W
01/08	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
25/07	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	2-0	12	0	W
16/05	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
09/05	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
03/05	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	3	7	L
25/04	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	0	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Zilina vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Zilina win (54%). Probabilities: MSK Zilina 54%, draw 23%, FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 24%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Zilina vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova?

The model expects 3.51 goals (MSK Zilina 2.13 · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 1.37), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Zilina vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.