Football · Mexico Liga MX · 06/09, 03:00
Prediction: Club America vs Tijuana
Team pages: Club America · Tijuana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Club America1.77
Tijuana0.79
1X2
Club America
Draw
Tijuana
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Club America
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Tijuana
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club America
2–4–0
Tijuana
(6 last)
- Tijuana0-0Club America
- Club America3-1Tijuana
- Club America1-1Tijuana
- Tijuana2-2Club America
- Tijuana2-2Club America
- Tijuana0-2Club America
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club America 1586 · Tijuana 1527
| Club America | Draw | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (rating 1586 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Club America: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club America | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.6 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America 2–4–0 Tijuana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club America |
| 17/07/25 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Tijuana |
| 17/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tijuana |
| 22/11/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Club America |
| 24/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Club America |
| 14/01/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Club America |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Atlas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Chivas Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Queretaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Unam Pumas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlante | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club America | Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Atletico San Luis | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Unam Pumas | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Leon | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club America
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-3 | 3-3 | 16 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club America vs Tijuana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America win (60%). Probabilities: Club America 60%, draw 24%, Tijuana 16%.
How many goals are expected in Club America vs Tijuana?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Club America 1.77 · Tijuana 0.79), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club America vs Tijuana?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.