Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan

Team pages: Wisla Plock · Lech Poznan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Wisla Plock1.26

Lech Poznan1.33

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Wisla Plock Draw Lech Poznan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Plock 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Lech Poznan 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wisla Plock 1–2–3 Lech Poznan (6 last)

Lech Poznan2-2Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock0-0Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock0-1Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan1-3Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock0-1Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan4-1Wisla Plock

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lech Poznan (rating 1520 vs 1585).
H2H favours Lech Poznan: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Plock	Lech Poznan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.5	3.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.87

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:23 +116’	3.72	3.72	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Plock 1–2–3 Lech Poznan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan	2-2 HT 1-0	Wisla Plock
30/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	0-0 HT 0-0	Lech Poznan
11/02/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	0-1 HT 0-1	Lech Poznan
31/07/22 Poland Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan	1-3 HT 0-1	Wisla Plock
16/04/22 Poland Ekstraklasa	Wisla Plock	0-1 HT 0-1	Lech Poznan
22/10/21 Poland Ekstraklasa	Lech Poznan	4-1 HT 1-1	Wisla Plock

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
2	Legia Warsaw	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
3	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
5	Wisla Krakow	3	2	0	1	7	6	6
6	Jagiellonia Bialystok	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
7	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	4	2	5
8	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
8	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
10	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
11	Zaglebie Lubin	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
12	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
13	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
14	Cracovia Krakow	3	0	2	1	0	2	2
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
16	Motor Lublin	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
17	Rakow Czestochowa	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
17	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	0	2	2	4	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wisla Plock

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
31/07	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
26/07	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
17/07	LKS Lodz Club Friendly List	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
14/07	Bohemians 1905 Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/07	Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
04/07	Polonia Warsaw Club Friendly List	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
27/06	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
16/05	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	7	4	L

Lech Poznan

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
06/08	KI Klaksvik UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
01/08	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
29/07	AGF Aarhus UEFA Champions League Qualifying	0-1	0-3	14	6	L
25/07	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
21/07	AGF Aarhus UEFA Champions League Qualifying	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
16/07	Gornik Zabrze Poland Super Cup	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
04/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	2	0	W
23/05	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
16/05	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	2-1	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lech Poznan win (37%). Probabilities: Wisla Plock 34%, draw 29%, Lech Poznan 37%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Wisla Plock 1.26 · Lech Poznan 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.