Football · Bulgaria First League · 14/08, 20:15
Prediction: CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
Team pages: CSKA 1948 Sofia · Cherno More Varna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
CSKA 1948 Sofia1.79
Cherno More Varna0.82
1X2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw
Cherno More Varna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Cherno More Varna
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1–2–3
Cherno More Varna
(6 last)
- Cherno More Varna0-4CSKA 1948 Sofia
- CSKA 1948 Sofia0-1Cherno More Varna
- CSKA 1948 Sofia0-4Cherno More Varna
- Cherno More Varna0-0CSKA 1948 Sofia
- Cherno More Varna2-1CSKA 1948 Sofia
- CSKA 1948 Sofia1-1Cherno More Varna
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA 1948 Sofia (rating 1553 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Cherno More Varna: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | Cherno More Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–2–3 Cherno More Varna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Bulgaria First League | Cherno More Varna | 0-4 HT 0-3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia |
| 09/11/25 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cherno More Varna |
| 24/11/24 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Cherno More Varna |
| 19/07/24 Bulgaria First League | Cherno More Varna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA 1948 Sofia |
| 15/03/24 Bulgaria First League | Cherno More Varna | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CSKA 1948 Sofia |
| 22/09/23 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cherno More Varna |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Spartak Varna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Botev Plovdiv | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSKA 1948 Sofia | Cherno More Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Arda Kardzhali | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Botev Vratsa | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Spartak Varna | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA 1948 Sofia (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Panathinaikos UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 31/07 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | FC Spartak Trnava UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 25/07 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | FC Spartak Trnava UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/07 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | NK Maribor Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Cherno More Varna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Dunav Ruse Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 24/06 | Yantra Gabrovo Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA 1948 Sofia win (59%). Probabilities: CSKA 1948 Sofia 59%, draw 25%, Cherno More Varna 16%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
The model expects 2.61 goals (CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.79 · Cherno More Varna 0.82), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.