Football · Bulgaria First League · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia
Team pages: Slavia Sofia · Levski Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Slavia Sofia0.72
Levski Sofia1.77
1X2
Slavia Sofia
Draw
Levski Sofia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slavia Sofia
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Levski Sofia
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slavia Sofia
1–1–4
Levski Sofia
(6 last)
- Slavia Sofia2-0Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia2-0Slavia Sofia
- Levski Sofia3-3Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia0-1Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia2-0Slavia Sofia
- Slavia Sofia0-2Levski Sofia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slavia Sofia 1500 · Levski Sofia 1589
| Slavia Sofia | Draw | Levski Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 25% | 61% |
| Market | 15% | 23% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levski Sofia (rating 1500 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Levski Sofia: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slavia Sofia | Levski Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 3.5 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavia Sofia 1–1–4 Levski Sofia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/25 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Levski Sofia |
| 03/08/25 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Slavia Sofia |
| 09/03/25 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Slavia Sofia |
| 22/09/24 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Levski Sofia |
| 29/03/24 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Slavia Sofia |
| 27/09/23 Bulgaria First League | Slavia Sofia | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Levski Sofia |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Spartak Varna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Botev Plovdiv | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slavia Sofia | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Septemvri Sofia | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Levski Sofia (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slavia Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Montana Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | CSM Slatina Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
Levski Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/08 | Kairat Almaty UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | CS U Craiova UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | CS U Craiova UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Borac Banja Luka UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Borac Banja Luka UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 30/06 | FK Radnik Surdulica Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Levski Sofia win (62%). Probabilities: Slavia Sofia 14%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 62%.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Slavia Sofia 0.72 · Levski Sofia 1.77), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.