Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 24/08, 18:00
Prediction: Wurzburger Kickers vs Cologne
Team pages: Wurzburger Kickers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Wurzburger Kickers0.84
Cologne2.46
1X2
Wurzburger Kickers
Draw
Cologne
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Wurzburger Kickers
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Cologne
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wurzburger Kickers 1578 · Cologne 1524
| Wurzburger Kickers | Draw | Cologne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Market | 10% | 17% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wurzburger Kickers (rating 1578 vs 1524).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wurzburger Kickers | Cologne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 2.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wurzburger Kickers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | VfR Aalen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Lok Leipzig Germany Regionalliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Ansbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Wacker Burghausen Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Greuther Furth II Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Cologne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Real Sociedad Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Real Sociedad Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Hertha Berlin Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 23/07 | Bergisch Gladbach 09 Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Rheinsud Koln Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga I |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga I |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Bayer Leverkusen Germany Bundesliga I |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | St Pauli Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wurzburger Kickers vs Cologne?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cologne win (72%). Probabilities: Wurzburger Kickers 10%, draw 17%, Cologne 72%.
How many goals are expected in Wurzburger Kickers vs Cologne?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Wurzburger Kickers 0.84 · Cologne 2.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wurzburger Kickers vs Cologne?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.