Football · Peru Liga 1 · 14/08, 22:00
Prediction: Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos
Team pages: Atletico Grau · Comerciantes Unidos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Atletico Grau1.37
Comerciantes Unidos0.99
1X2
Atletico Grau
Draw
Comerciantes Unidos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Grau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Comerciantes Unidos
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Grau
2–2–2
Comerciantes Unidos
(6 last)
- Comerciantes Unidos3-1Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau1-2Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos2-2Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau3-0Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos2-2Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau4-0Comerciantes Unidos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Grau | Comerciantes Unidos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Grau 2–2–2 Comerciantes Unidos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 15/08/25 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 27/03/25 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico Grau |
| 31/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 19/02/24 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 27/08/21 Peru Liga 2 | Atletico Grau | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Comerciantes Unidos |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 38 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 36 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 36 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 33 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 27 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 26 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 26 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 23 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 27 | 21 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 15 | Juan Pablo II College | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 21 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 18 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Grau | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Sport Boys | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Moquegua | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Cusco FC | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Grau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | Carlos Manucci Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 27/06 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 22/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
Comerciantes Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Grau win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico Grau 44%, draw 30%, Comerciantes Unidos 26%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Atletico Grau 1.37 · Comerciantes Unidos 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.