Football · Peru Liga 1 · 24/08, 01:30
Prediction: Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas
Team pages: Universitario de Deportes · CD Los Chankas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Universitario de Deportes2.19
CD Los Chankas0.7
1X2
Universitario de Deportes
Draw
CD Los Chankas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario de Deportes
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CD Los Chankas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universitario de Deportes
1–2–2
CD Los Chankas
(5 last)
- CD Los Chankas3-1Universitario de Deportes
- CD Los Chankas3-1Universitario de Deportes
- Universitario de Deportes0-0CD Los Chankas
- CD Los Chankas0-0Universitario de Deportes
- Universitario de Deportes4-0CD Los Chankas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universitario de Deportes 1519 · CD Los Chankas 1509
| Universitario de Deportes | Draw | CD Los Chankas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 10% |
| Market | 71% | 19% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Los Chankas: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario de Deportes | CD Los Chankas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.6 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario de Deportes 1–2–2 CD Los Chankas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 22/11/25 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 12/07/25 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Los Chankas |
| 03/11/24 Peru Liga 1 | CD Los Chankas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 25/05/24 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 4-0 HT 2-0 | CD Los Chankas |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 51 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 30 | 41 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 39 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 38 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 36 |
| 7 | Cusco FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 29 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 28 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 23 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 38 | 23 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
| 15 | Deportivo Moquegua | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29 | 22 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 21 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II College | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 21 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario de Deportes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/08 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Millonarios America Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Atletico Grau Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 13/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
CD Los Chankas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Santos FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Ayacucho FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 31/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario de Deportes win (71%). Probabilities: Universitario de Deportes 71%, draw 19%, CD Los Chankas 10%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Universitario de Deportes 2.19 · CD Los Chankas 0.7), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario de Deportes vs CD Los Chankas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.