Football · Community Shield · 16/08, 16:00

Result and prediction: Arsenal vs Man City

Final result

Arsenal 3-0 Man City

Half time: 2-0

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Man City 39%

33% 28% 39%

ArsenalDrawMan City

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Arsenal	Draw	Man City
Our model	32%	28%	39%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (goals) 2.67 · actual 3

This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.