Football · Brazil Serie A2 Women · 12/07, 20:00

Prediction: Ceara (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Ceara (W)1.01
3B Sport AM (W)1.33
1X2
27% 29% 43%
Ceara (W) Draw 3B Sport AM (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ceara (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLLLWL
3B Sport AM (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDLWDWDWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceara (W) 1444 · 3B Sport AM (W) 1530
Ceara (W)Draw3B Sport AM (W)
Our model27%30%43%
Market28%29%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 3B Sport AM (W) (rating 1444 vs 1530).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ceara (W)3B Sport AM (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.81.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/44/44%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.31.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.54.9 / 0.3

Standings · Brazil Serie A2 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vasco da Gama (W) 121110 43834
2 Itabirito (W) 121011 23631
3 Minas Brasilia DF (W) 12921 28629
4 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 12903 291027
5 Sociedade Acao (W) 12624 151320
6 Sport Recife (W) 12525 131417
7 3B Sport AM (W) 11452 11817
8 Perolas Negras (W) 12444 161816
9 Taubate (W) 12426 191714
10 Rio Negro RR (W) 12426 122214
11 Doce Mel EC (W) 12345 91813
12 Ceara (W) 11317 101710
13 Vila Nova GO (W) 12318 122710
14 Paysandu (W) 12318 92410
15 Itacoatiara (W) 121110 9294
16 UD Alagoana (W) 121110 7284

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCeara (W)3B Sport AM (W)
Vasco da Gama (W) 0-2 L 3-3 D
Itabirito (W) 0-2 L 0-2 L
Sociedade Acao (W) 1-3 L 2-0 W
Doce Mel EC (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) 0-1 L 1-0 W
Taubate (W) 1-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: 3B Sport AM (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceara (W)

LLLDWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-2 0-2 35 L
23/05 Itacoatiara (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
2-1 W
20/05 Rio Negro RR (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-2 15 L
13/05 Itabirito (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-2 32 L
09/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-1 1-3 L
03/05 UD Alagoana (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-0 3-1 81 W
26/04 Doce Mel EC (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-0 03 D
18/04 Perolas Negras (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-3 69 L
04/04 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-1 07 L
28/03 Taubate (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
1-2 1-3 55 L

3B Sport AM (W)

LDLWDWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/05 Doce Mel EC (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/05 Sociedade Acao (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 2-0 05 W
23/05 Vila Nova GO (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
3-0 3-0 36 W
20/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
2-0 3-3 74 D
13/05 Taubate (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 1-0 44 W
09/05 Sport Recife (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-1 D
02/05 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 1-0 58 W
26/04 Itabirito (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 0-2 06 L
18/04 Paysandu (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-0 0-0 54 D
05/04 Minas Brasilia DF (W)
Brazil Serie A2 Women
0-1 1-2 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceara (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 3B Sport AM (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Ceara (W) 27%, draw 29%, 3B Sport AM (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Ceara (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Ceara (W) 1.01 · 3B Sport AM (W) 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceara (W) vs 3B Sport AM (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.