Football · Kazakhstan Cup · 15/07, 17:00

Prediction: Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Ordabasy1.71
FC Altai Semey0.63
1X2
64% 23% 13%
Ordabasy Draw FC Altai Semey
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ordabasy 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWWWL
FC Altai Semey 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLDLDLWW
Head-to-head
Ordabasy 0–1–0 FC Altai Semey (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ordabasy 1580 · FC Altai Semey 1498
OrdabasyDrawFC Altai Semey
Our model63%25%12%
Market64%22%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ordabasy (rating 1580 vs 1498).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OrdabasyFC Altai Semey
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.61 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.71.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.24.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ordabasy 010 FC Altai Semey

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Kazakhstan Premier League
FC Altai Semey0-0
HT 0-0
Ordabasy

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOrdabasyFC Altai Semey
Tobol Kostanay 3-0 W 1-0 W
Zhetysu 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ordabasy (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ordabasy

DWWWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 FK Kaspyi Aktau
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-1 2-3 93 L
05/07 FK Ulytau
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-0 33 W
28/06 FK Ulytau
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 1-0 61 W
20/06 FK Kaspyi Aktau
Kazakhstan Premier League
2-0 2-0 72 W
14/06 FC Elimai Semey
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 3-1 56 W
28/05 Kairat Almaty
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-1 2-1 25 W
23/05 Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 3-0 56 W
17/05 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-1 2-1 28 W
13/05 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Cup
0-0 1-0 32 W
10/05 FC Altai Semey
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 0-0 55 D

FC Altai Semey

DDWLDLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 1-0 14 W
04/07 Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-0 103 W
28/06 Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-1 1-3 45 L
20/06 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-2 3-3 16 D
14/06 FK Aktobe
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 0-2 16 L
27/05 FC Astana
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-1 42 D
22/05 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-1 0-1 46 L
17/05 FK Kyzylzhar
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 2-1 24 W
13/05 FK Aktobe
Kazakhstan Cup
1-1 1-1 58 D
10/05 Ordabasy
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 0-0 25 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ordabasy win (64%). Probabilities: Ordabasy 64%, draw 23%, FC Altai Semey 13%.

How many goals are expected in Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Ordabasy 1.71 · FC Altai Semey 0.63), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.