Prediction: FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FC Hegelmann II
Expected goals: 3.06 (FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1.84 · FC Hegelmann II 1.23). The model gives 51% home, 24% draw, 25% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, FK Zalgiris Vilnius II is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Hegelmann II 4-0-6 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for FK Zalgiris Vilnius II and 0 for FC Hegelmann II, with 1 draw.
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | Draw | FC Hegelmann II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | FC Hegelmann II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1–1–0 FC Hegelmann II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FC Hegelmann II | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II |
| 26/05/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 4-3 HT 3-1 | FC Hegelmann II |
Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 9 | 40 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 39 |
| 3 | FK BE1 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 5 | FK Tauras | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | DFK Dainava | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 27 |
| 7 | FK Garliava | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Atmosfera | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 21 |
| 9 | BFA Vilnius | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 19 |
| 10 | Lietava Jonava | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 15 |
| 12 | FK Transinvest II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Hegelmann II | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 13 |
| 14 | FK Ekranas | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 7 |
| 16 | FK Siauliai II | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | FC Hegelmann II |
|---|---|---|
| Lietava Jonava | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| BFA Vilnius | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Babrungas | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Tauras | 2-2 D | 1-6 L |
| FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| DFK Dainava | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| FK Transinvest II | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
FC Hegelmann II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-4 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/05 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FC Hegelmann II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win (51%). Probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 51%, draw 24%, FC Hegelmann II 25%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FC Hegelmann II?
The model expects 3.06 goals (FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1.84 · FC Hegelmann II 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FC Hegelmann II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.