Football · China Super League Women · 04/07, 11:00

Prediction: Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Expected goals: 2.43 (Jiangsu Suning (W) 1.56 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 0.87). The model gives 53% home, 26% draw, 21% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Jiangsu Suning (W) with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Jiangsu Suning (W) and 1 for Zhejiang Hangzhou (W), with 2 draws.

53%1
53% 26% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiangsu Suning (W) 1560 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1464
Jiangsu Suning (W)DrawZhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Our model52%28%20%
Market54%25%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.43Jiangsu Suning (W) 1.56 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 0.87
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiangsu Suning (W) (rating 1560 vs 1464).
  • H2H favours Jiangsu Suning (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jiangsu Suning (W)Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 10.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.60.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/67/22%22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.20.8 / 1.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 01 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiangsu Suning (W) 321 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/25
China Super League Women
Jiangsu Suning (W)2-1Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
15/03/25
China Super League Women
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Jiangsu Suning (W)
11/08/24
China Super League Women
Jiangsu Suning (W)2-1Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
21/04/24
China Super League Women
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Jiangsu Suning (W)
19/08/23
China Super League Women
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)0-2Jiangsu Suning (W)
04/03/23
China Super League Women
Jiangsu Suning (W)0-0Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Standings · China Super League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Beijing (W) 8701 17621
2 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 8701 13321
3 Shanghai (W) 8611 16519
4 Wuhan Jiangda (W) 8521 12717
5 Jiangsu Suning (W) 8512 13916
6 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 8305 4109
7 Changchun Dazhong (W) 8224 5108
8 Guangdong (W) 8143 697
9 Shandong (W) 8134 7126
10 Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 8116 274
11 Guangxi Pingguo (W) 8035 7153
12 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 8035 7163

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJiangsu Suning (W)Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Shanghai (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Guangdong (W) 0-0 D 1-0 W
Guangxi Pingguo (W) 2-1 W 1-0 W
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women 3-2 W 1-0 W
Beijing (W) 2-3 L 1-4 L
Changchun Dazhong (W) 2-0 W 1-3 L
Shandong (W) 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Jiangsu Suning (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiangsu Suning (W)

WWWWWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-2 1-2 11 L
24/06 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-0 63 D
20/06 Guangxi Pingguo (W)
China Super League Women
1-1 2-1 64 W
13/06 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
China Super League Women
1-2 3-2 113 W
17/05 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 2-3 43 L
09/05 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 71 W
03/05 Changchun Dazhong (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 2-0 43 W
26/04 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 2-1 40 W
15/11 Hubei Province (W)
China National Games Women
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/09 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
China Super League Women
3-1 W

Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

LWLLWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-1 12 L
24/06 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-1 21 L
20/06 Sichuan Jiannanchun Women
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 31 W
14/06 Guangxi Pingguo (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 1-0 22 W
16/05 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-1 30 L
09/05 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 1-0 21 W
02/05 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-3 11 L
26/04 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
0-3 1-4 11 L
28/09 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
2-1 W
20/09 Changchun Dazhong (W)
China Super League Women
0-3 1-3 00 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jiangsu Suning (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Jiangsu Suning (W) 53%, draw 26%, Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Jiangsu Suning (W) 1.56 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jiangsu Suning (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.