Prediction: DFK Dainava II vs Sirijus Klaipeda
Expected goals: 4.07 (DFK Dainava II 1.56 · Sirijus Klaipeda 2.51). The model gives 22% home, 20% draw, 58% away. Over 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, DFK Dainava II sits at 2-0-8 (W-D-L), while Sirijus Klaipeda arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, DFK Dainava II won 1 and Sirijus Klaipeda 1.
| DFK Dainava II | Draw | Sirijus Klaipeda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 20% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirijus Klaipeda (rating 1423 vs 1506).
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| DFK Dainava II | Sirijus Klaipeda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.1 | 4 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · DFK Dainava II 1–0–1 Sirijus Klaipeda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 Lithuania II Lyga | DFK Dainava II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sirijus Klaipeda |
| 15/06/25 Lithuania II Lyga | Sirijus Klaipeda | 2-1 HT 0-1 | DFK Dainava II |
Standings · Lithuania II Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nevezis | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Vilnius Football Academy | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 17 | 30 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | FK Sveikata | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 5 | FK Panevezys II | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 24 | 23 |
| 6 | FM Klaipedos | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Sirvena | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 19 |
| 8 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 18 |
| 9 | FKS Ukmerge | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Sirijus Klaipeda | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 16 |
| 11 | Banga Gargzdai II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
| 12 | FK Silute | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 12 |
| 13 | Utenis Utena | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Viltis Vilnius | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 54 | 8 |
| 15 | DFK Dainava II | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | DFK Dainava II | Sirijus Klaipeda |
|---|---|---|
| FM Klaipedos | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Silute | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Neptunas Klaipeda II | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Banga Gargzdai II | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FK Sveikata | 0-7 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Panevezys II | 2-6 L | 5-1 W |
| Nevezis | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Vilnius Football Academy | 2-4 L | 4-2 W |
| Utenis Utena | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Sirvena | 2-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 8 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sirijus Klaipeda (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
DFK Dainava II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga |
0-3 | 0-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga |
2-1 | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga |
0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga |
3-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga |
0-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
Sirijus Klaipeda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/05 | FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in DFK Dainava II vs Sirijus Klaipeda?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sirijus Klaipeda win (58%). Probabilities: DFK Dainava II 22%, draw 20%, Sirijus Klaipeda 58%.
How many goals are expected in DFK Dainava II vs Sirijus Klaipeda?
The model expects 4.07 goals (DFK Dainava II 1.56 · Sirijus Klaipeda 2.51), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in DFK Dainava II vs Sirijus Klaipeda?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.