Prediction: Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin FC
Expected goals: 4.4 (Darwin Olympic 1.87 · Port Darwin FC 2.53). The model gives 28% home, 20% draw, 52% away. Over 4.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves Darwin Olympic with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Port Darwin FC has piled up 6-0-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Darwin Olympic and 3 for Port Darwin FC.
| Darwin Olympic | Draw | Port Darwin FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| Market | 28% | 20% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Darwin Olympic | Port Darwin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.6 / 2.2 | 3.9 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.9 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darwin Olympic 3–0–3 Port Darwin FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia Darwin Premier League | Port Darwin FC | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Darwin Olympic |
| 02/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | Darwin Olympic | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Port Darwin FC |
| 26/07/25 Australia Darwin Premier League | Port Darwin FC | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Darwin Olympic |
| 24/05/25 Australia Darwin Premier League | Darwin Olympic | 2-4 HT 2-3 | Port Darwin FC |
| 22/03/25 Australia Darwin Premier League | Port Darwin FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Darwin Olympic |
| 27/07/24 Australia Darwin Premier League | Port Darwin FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Darwin Olympic |
Standings · Australia Darwin Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University Azzurri FC | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 57 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Port Darwin FC | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 49 | 32 | 27 |
| 3 | Mindil Aces | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Darwin Hearts | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 23 |
| 5 | Darwin Olympic | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 25 | 21 |
| 6 | Casuarina FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 17 |
| 7 | Palmerston Rovers FC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 56 | 12 |
| 8 | Hellenic AC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 9 |
| 9 | Garuda FC | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Darwin Olympic | Port Darwin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Darwin Hearts | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Garuda FC | 9-1 W | 5-3 W |
| Hellenic AC | 2-2 D | 6-2 W |
| University Azzurri FC | 0-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Casuarina FC | 4-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Mindil Aces | 1-1 D | 0-8 L |
| Palmerston Rovers FC | 7-2 W | 10-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Darwin Olympic (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darwin Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
5-1 | 9-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Casuarina FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Mindil Aces Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Palmerston Rovers FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
6-0 | 7-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
3-1 | 8-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Port Darwin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Palmerston Rovers FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
6-0 | 10-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Mindil Aces Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-4 | 0-8 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | University Azzurri FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-6 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Darwin Olympic Australia Darwin Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Casuarina FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Stormbirds SC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Port Darwin FC win (52%). Probabilities: Darwin Olympic 28%, draw 20%, Port Darwin FC 52%.
How many goals are expected in Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin FC?
The model expects 4.4 goals (Darwin Olympic 1.87 · Port Darwin FC 2.53), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin FC?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.