Football · South Korea Women K League · 07/10, 12:00
Prediction: Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)
Team pages: Sejong Sportstoto (W) · Incheon Red Angels (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Sejong Sportstoto (W)1.12
Incheon Red Angels (W)0.82
1X2
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Draw
Incheon Red Angels (W)
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Incheon Red Angels (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
2–2–2
Incheon Red Angels (W)
(6 last)
- Incheon Red Angels (W)0-1Sejong Sportstoto (W)
- Sejong Sportstoto (W)0-0Incheon Red Angels (W)
- Incheon Red Angels (W)0-1Sejong Sportstoto (W)
- Sejong Sportstoto (W)1-2Incheon Red Angels (W)
- Sejong Sportstoto (W)1-2Incheon Red Angels (W)
- Incheon Red Angels (W)0-0Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1502 · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1390
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | Draw | Incheon Red Angels (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sejong Sportstoto (W) (rating 1502 vs 1390).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | Incheon Red Angels (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 2–2–2 Incheon Red Angels (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) |
| 17/06/26 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 01/05/26 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) |
| 18/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 23/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 12/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FC (W) | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 59 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
| 3 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 36 |
| 4 | Gyeongju (W) | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 34 | 34 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 32 | 31 |
| 7 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 37 | 23 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 50 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Suwon FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Gyeongju (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Gangjin Swans (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sejong Sportstoto (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/09 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/08 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Incheon Red Angels (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/09 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/08 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sejong Sportstoto (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Sejong Sportstoto (W) 43%, draw 30%, Incheon Red Angels (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.12 · Incheon Red Angels (W) 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.