Football · China Division 2 · 09/08, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions

Team pages: Nantong Haimen Codion · Qingdao Red Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

Nantong Haimen Codion1.07

Qingdao Red Lions0.78

1X2

42% 32% 26%

Nantong Haimen Codion Draw Qingdao Red Lions

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Haimen Codion 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDDLDLWW

Qingdao Red Lions 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWDLLWD

Head-to-head

Nantong Haimen Codion 1–2 Qingdao Red Lions (3 last)

Qingdao Red Lions0-1Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong Haimen Codion0-1Qingdao Red Lions
Qingdao Red Lions1-0Nantong Haimen Codion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Haimen Codion 1503 · Qingdao Red Lions 1507

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Draw	Qingdao Red Lions
Our model	41%	35%	25%
Market	43%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Qingdao Red Lions: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Haimen Codion	Qingdao Red Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.3	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.76 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +50’	2.10	3.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +13’	2.07	2.82	3.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Haimen Codion 1–0–2 Qingdao Red Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 China Division 2	Qingdao Red Lions	0-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion
28/06/23 China Division 2	Nantong Haimen Codion	0-1 HT 0-1	Qingdao Red Lions
29/04/23 China Division 2	Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 HT 0-0	Nantong Haimen Codion

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	19	11	4	4	33	15	37
2	Shandong Taishan Reserves	19	11	4	4	28	17	37
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	19	11	3	5	27	15	36
4	Dalian Kewei	19	8	9	2	18	10	33
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	19	8	5	6	23	20	29
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	19	5	9	5	17	18	24
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	19	3	12	4	10	14	21
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
9	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
10	Changchun Xidu	19	2	10	7	10	23	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	19	2	8	9	19	33	14
12	Beijing Institute	19	1	6	12	13	36	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Haimen Codion	Qingdao Red Lions
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 W	0-1 L
Beijing Institute	2-1 W	6-1 W
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	0-0 D	0-0 D
Dalian Kewei	1-2 L	0-0 D
Changchun Xidu	0-0 D	1-1 D
Shanghai Port Reserves	2-2 D	2-1 W
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	1-2 L	0-0 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-0 D	0-1 L
Shanghai Segenda	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nantong Haimen Codion

DDLDDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
29/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
26/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	10	1	L
19/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
04/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
27/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
23/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
19/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
13/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/05	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-2	2-2	5	5	D

Qingdao Red Lions

DWDDWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	3-0	6-1	2	1	W
19/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
05/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
27/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
20/06	Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
14/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
07/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Haimen Codion win (42%). Probabilities: Nantong Haimen Codion 42%, draw 32%, Qingdao Red Lions 26%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Nantong Haimen Codion 1.07 · Qingdao Red Lions 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Haimen Codion vs Qingdao Red Lions?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.