Football · China Division 2 · 09/08, 13:30

Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Team pages: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.76

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.36

1X2

21% 29% 51%

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Draw Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWDDWD

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0–1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (1 last)

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic7-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1529 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1572

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Draw	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Our model	20%	31%	50%
Market	21%	27%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (rating 1529 vs 1572).
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	1.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.30

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.84 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +2’	4.20	3.30	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +13’	4.84	3.04	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0–0–1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	7-0 HT 3-0	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	19	13	1	5	29	13	40
2	Shenzhen 2028	19	9	6	4	30	23	33
3	Hubei Istar	19	8	7	4	26	19	31
4	Jiangxi Lushan	19	8	5	6	22	17	29
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	19	6	8	5	18	19	26
6	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	19	5	10	4	19	25	25
7	Xiamen Feilu	19	6	7	6	27	26	25
8	Guangdong Mingtu	19	4	10	5	19	19	22
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	19	4	6	9	15	21	18
11	Wenzhou FC	19	3	8	8	12	22	17
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	19	3	7	9	16	21	16

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Ganzhou Ruishi	1-1 D	3-0 W
Xiamen Feilu	2-1 W	1-0 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	0-0 D	2-1 W
Guangzhou Dandelion	1-1 D	2-0 W
Jiangxi Lushan	2-1 W	1-2 L
Wenzhou FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	1-3 L	1-0 W
Guangdong Mingtu	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 1 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

DDLWDWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
28/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
24/06	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
19/06	Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	3	D

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

WWWDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	2-0	10	7	W
01/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
19/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
27/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
23/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/06	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/05	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	2-1	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (51%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 21%, draw 29%, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 51%.

How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.76 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.