Football · China Division 1 · 09/08, 13:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC

Team pages: Wuxi Wugo · Ningbo Professional FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Wuxi Wugo1.6

Ningbo Professional FC1.25

1X2

44% 28% 28%

Wuxi Wugo Draw Ningbo Professional FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wuxi Wugo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDDLWWL

Ningbo Professional FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Wuxi Wugo 1–1–3 Ningbo Professional FC (5 last)

Ningbo Professional FC2-3Wuxi Wugo
Ningbo Professional FC2-0Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC2-1Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-0Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1537 · Ningbo Professional FC 1501

	Wuxi Wugo	Draw	Ningbo Professional FC
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ningbo Professional FC: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuxi Wugo	Ningbo Professional FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.15 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:21 +9’	2.05	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +1’	2.15	3.18	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 1–1–3 Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Wuxi Wugo
29/09/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Wuxi Wugo
12/05/24 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-1 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
05/08/23 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Wuxi Wugo
30/04/23 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	17	11	4	2	31	16	37
2	Nantong Zhiyun	16	8	6	2	20	12	30
3	Shenzhen Juniors	17	8	5	4	27	21	29
4	Guangxi Hengchen	16	8	5	3	30	19	29
5	Yanbian Longding	17	7	8	2	24	14	29
6	Ningbo Professional FC	17	8	3	6	23	22	24
7	Shaanxi Union	16	6	5	5	24	14	23
8	Wuxi Wugo	16	6	5	5	28	18	23
9	Nanjing City	17	5	4	8	16	19	19
10	Changchun Yatai	16	7	2	7	25	30	19
11	Dalian K'un City	16	4	6	6	21	24	18
12	Dingnan Ganlian FC	17	3	9	5	26	34	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	17	2	6	9	10	21	12
14	Suzhou Dongwu	17	3	5	9	12	22	11
15	Foshan Nanshi	17	2	5	10	17	32	11
16	Meizhou Hakka	17	5	2	10	16	32	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuxi Wugo	Ningbo Professional FC
Foshan Nanshi	2-0 W	1-0 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC	3-3 D	1-0 W
Suzhou Dongwu	3-1 W	2-1 W
Nanjing City	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wuxi Wugo

WDWDDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
04/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
28/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-2	3-3	5	7	D
20/06	Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
14/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
23/05	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	Guangzhou Dandelion China FA Cup	2-0	2-0	4	3	W

Ningbo Professional FC

WDWLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	8	5	L
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
28/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
20/06	Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
13/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
23/05	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuxi Wugo win (44%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 44%, draw 28%, Ningbo Professional FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.6 · Ningbo Professional FC 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.