Football · Russia Premier Women · 29/08, 12:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow Women vs Chertanovo Moskva Women

Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow Women · Chertanovo Moskva Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Lokomotiv Moscow Women2

Chertanovo Moskva Women0.99

1X2

60% 23% 17%

Lokomotiv Moscow Women Draw Chertanovo Moskva Women

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Moscow Women 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDLW

Chertanovo Moskva Women 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Moscow Women 5–1 Chertanovo Moskva Women (6 last)

Chertanovo Moskva Women0-3Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Chertanovo Moskva Women0-2Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Lokomotiv Moscow Women0-1Chertanovo Moskva Women
Chertanovo Moskva Women0-1Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Lokomotiv Moscow Women4-0Chertanovo Moskva Women
Chertanovo Moskva Women0-2Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Moscow Women (rating 1599 vs 1502).
H2H favours Lokomotiv Moscow Women: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	Chertanovo Moskva Women
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.4	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6	– / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.76

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Pinn 1.18
X	5.63 → 5.63	Pinn 5.63
2	10.01 → 10.01	Pinn 10.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:39	1.18	5.63	10.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow Women 5–0–1 Chertanovo Moskva Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Russia Premier Women	Chertanovo Moskva Women	0-3 HT 0-1	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
20/09/25 Russia Premier Women	Chertanovo Moskva Women	0-2 HT 0-1	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
08/03/25 Russia Premier Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	0-1 HT 0-0	Chertanovo Moskva Women
12/10/24 Russia Premier Women	Chertanovo Moskva Women	0-1 HT 0-1	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
07/09/24 Russia Cup Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	4-0 HT 1-0	Chertanovo Moskva Women
24/08/24 Russia Cup Women	Chertanovo Moskva Women	0-2 HT 0-1	Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Standings · Russia Premier Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zenit St Petersburg Women	14	12	2	0	38	5	38
2	CSKA Moscow Women	15	12	1	2	36	8	37
3	Spartak Moscow Women	15	10	4	1	35	11	34
4	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	14	8	3	3	25	8	27
5	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	15	8	3	4	23	18	27
6	Chertanovo Moskva Women	15	6	2	7	20	25	20
7	Dinamo Moscow Women	14	6	1	7	13	12	19
8	Rubin Kazan Women	15	4	7	4	19	18	19
9	Zvezda 2005 Perm Women	15	4	3	8	11	23	15
10	FK Kubanochka Krasnodar Women	15	2	5	8	12	25	11
11	Ryazan VDV Women	15	1	6	8	9	27	9
12	Rostov Women	15	2	2	11	3	33	8
13	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women	15	0	3	12	6	37	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	Chertanovo Moskva Women
Rubin Kazan Women	0-1 L	2-2 D
Rostov Women	0-0 D	3-0 W
Zenit St Petersburg Women	1-2 L	0-5 L
Dinamo Moscow Women	1-0 W	0-1 L
Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women	3-0 W	3-2 W
Ryazan VDV Women	3-0 W	4-1 W
Zvezda 2005 Perm Women	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Moscow Women (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Moscow Women

WWWWLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	CSKA Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
18/07	Rubin Kazan Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
11/07	Rostov Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
27/06	Spartak Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
20/06	Chertanovo Moskva Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
30/05	Zenit St Petersburg Women Russia Premier Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
24/05	Dinamo Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/05	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
10/05	Ryazan VDV Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
02/05	Zvezda 2005 Perm Women Russia Premier Women	2-0	2-0	12	2	W

Chertanovo Moskva Women

LWWLWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Zvezda 2005 Perm Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
01/08	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women Russia Premier Women	1-1	3-2	6	4	W
18/07	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women Russia Premier Women	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
27/06	Rubin Kazan Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
20/06	Lokomotiv Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
30/05	Rostov Women Russia Premier Women	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/05	Zenit St Petersburg Women Russia Premier Women	0-3	0-5	0	1	L
16/05	Ryazan VDV Women Russia Premier Women	2-0	4-1	1	3	W
10/05	FK Kubanochka Krasnodar Women Russia Premier Women	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
02/05	Dinamo Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	0-1	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow Women vs Chertanovo Moskva Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Moscow Women win (60%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow Women 60%, draw 23%, Chertanovo Moskva Women 17%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow Women vs Chertanovo Moskva Women?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow Women 2 · Chertanovo Moskva Women 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow Women vs Chertanovo Moskva Women?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.