Football · Russia Premier Women · 19/09, 12:00

Prediction: Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women vs Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Team pages: Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women · Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women1.08

Lokomotiv Moscow Women1.51

1X2

26% 28% 46%

Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women Draw Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLWLW

Lokomotiv Moscow Women 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women 1–1–4 Lokomotiv Moscow Women (6 last)

Lokomotiv Moscow Women5-0Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women
Lokomotiv Moscow Women1-0Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women
Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women1-0Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Lokomotiv Moscow Women0-0Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women
Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women0-4Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women0-7Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Moscow Women (rating 1494 vs 1613).
H2H favours Lokomotiv Moscow Women: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 5.3	– / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.78

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.80 → 5.80	Pinn 5.80
X	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
2	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +17’	5.80	3.82	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women 1–1–4 Lokomotiv Moscow Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Russia Premier Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	5-0 HT 1-0	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women
08/11/25 Russia Premier Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	1-0 HT 1-0	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women
21/06/25 Russia Premier Women	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	1-0 HT 0-0	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
22/09/24 Russia Premier Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	0-0 HT 0-0	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women
27/04/24 Russia Premier Women	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	0-4 HT 0-2	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
20/08/23 Russia Premier Women	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	0-7	Lokomotiv Moscow Women

Standings · Russia Premier Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zenit St Petersburg Women	17	15	2	0	48	5	47
2	CSKA Moscow Women	18	15	1	2	47	9	46
3	Spartak Moscow Women	17	12	4	1	41	11	40
4	Lokomotiv Moscow Women	17	11	3	3	33	9	36
5	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	17	9	3	5	25	20	30
6	Dinamo Moscow Women	17	9	1	7	19	14	28
7	Chertanovo Moskva Women	18	6	3	9	22	30	21
8	Rubin Kazan Women	18	4	8	6	20	25	20
9	Zvezda 2005 Perm Women	18	4	3	11	11	32	15
10	FK Kubanochka Krasnodar Women	18	2	7	9	15	29	13
11	Rostov Women	18	3	2	13	5	43	11
12	Ryazan VDV Women	18	1	6	11	10	36	9
13	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women	17	0	3	14	7	40	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women	Lokomotiv Moscow Women
Ryazan VDV Women	2-1 W	4-0 W
Dinamo Moscow Women	0-1 L	1-0 W
CSKA Moscow Women	1-4 L	1-0 W
Chertanovo Moskva Women	1-1 D	2-1 W
Rubin Kazan Women	2-0 W	0-1 L
Rostov Women	4-0 W	0-0 D
Spartak Moscow Women	0-1 L	1-1 D
Zvezda 2005 Perm Women	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Moscow Women (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women

WDLWWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Ryazan VDV Women Russia Premier Women	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	Dinamo Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
08/08	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women Russia Premier Women	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
01/08	CSKA Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
18/07	Chertanovo Moskva Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
11/07	Rubin Kazan Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
27/06	Rostov Women Russia Premier Women	3-0	4-0	4	3	W
30/05	Spartak Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
23/05	FK Kubanochka Krasnodar Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	1-1	12	1	D
16/05	Zvezda 2005 Perm Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	2-0	7	2	W

Lokomotiv Moscow Women

WLWDDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Zvezda 2005 Perm Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
05/09	Ryazan VDV Women Russia Premier Women	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
29/08	Chertanovo Moskva Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
09/08	CSKA Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
18/07	Rubin Kazan Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
11/07	Rostov Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
27/06	Spartak Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
20/06	Chertanovo Moskva Women Russia Premier Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
30/05	Zenit St Petersburg Women Russia Premier Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
24/05	Dinamo Moscow Women Russia Premier Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women vs Lokomotiv Moscow Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lokomotiv Moscow Women win (46%). Probabilities: Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women 26%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Moscow Women 46%.

How many goals are expected in Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women vs Lokomotiv Moscow Women?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women 1.08 · Lokomotiv Moscow Women 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zhfk Krylya Sovetov Samara Women vs Lokomotiv Moscow Women?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.