Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 26/07, 09:00

Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.15Total

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1.08

Fremantle City FC (W)3.08

1X2

8% 12% 80%

UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Draw Fremantle City FC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLDLL

Fremantle City FC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWWWL

Head-to-head

UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 0–6 Fremantle City FC (W) (6 last)

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)0-5Fremantle City FC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)5-0UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)0-7Fremantle City FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1397 · Fremantle City FC (W) 1573

	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	Draw	Fremantle City FC (W)
Our model	9%	14%	76%
Market	6%	10%	84%

Estimated total (ours) 4.15 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fremantle City FC (W) (rating 1397 vs 1573).
H2H favours Fremantle City FC (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	Fremantle City FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.2	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.6	1.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

115.00

X9.00

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.75)1.82

2 (-2.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:54 +23’	15.00	9.00	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 0–0–6 Fremantle City FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	Fremantle City FC (W)
29/03/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
16/08/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	0-7 HT 0-3	Fremantle City FC (W)
14/06/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	13-0 HT 5-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
27/04/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	4-2 HT 1-0	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
04/09/24 Australia WA Premier League Women	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Fremantle City FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	16	13	3	0	35	4	42
2	Fremantle City FC (W)	16	10	3	3	36	16	33
3	Balcatta FC (W)	16	9	5	2	36	13	32
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	15	6	4	5	25	18	22
5	Hyundai NTC Women	16	4	5	7	25	31	17
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	15	4	2	9	17	31	14
7	Sorrento (W)	16	2	3	11	15	39	9
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	16	1	3	12	7	44	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	Fremantle City FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Perth SC (W)	1-4 L	0-3 L
Subiaco AFC (W)	0-0 D	2-0 W
Hyundai NTC Women	0-1 L	2-1 W
Perth Redstar FC (W)	0-3 L	2-0 W
Sorrento (W)	1-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

LLLDWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	1	1	L
11/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-2	1-4	0	3	L
05/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	11	0	D
27/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	4	0	L
14/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
31/05	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
24/05	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
17/05	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
03/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L

Fremantle City FC (W)

DWWLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
19/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
12/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
04/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
28/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	9	2	L
21/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
13/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
31/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
24/05	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	7	2	W
15/05	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-2	3-3	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fremantle City FC (W) win (80%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 8%, draw 12%, Fremantle City FC (W) 80%.

How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

The model expects 4.15 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.08 · Fremantle City FC (W) 3.08), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.