Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 09/08, 17:00
Prediction: Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
Team pages: Tobol Kostanay · Kaisar Kyzylorda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Tobol Kostanay1.14
Kaisar Kyzylorda0.96
1X2
Tobol Kostanay
Draw
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tobol Kostanay
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tobol Kostanay
1–2–3
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(6 last)
- Kaisar Kyzylorda2-1Tobol Kostanay
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-1Tobol Kostanay
- Tobol Kostanay1-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-1Tobol Kostanay
- Kaisar Kyzylorda2-0Tobol Kostanay
- Kaisar Kyzylorda5-1Tobol Kostanay
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kaisar Kyzylorda: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tobol Kostanay | Kaisar Kyzylorda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tobol Kostanay 1–2–3 Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 13/05/26 Kazakhstan Cup | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 28/09/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Tobol Kostanay | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 15/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 10/11/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 21/07/24 Kazakhstan League Cup | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 5-1 HT 5-0 | Tobol Kostanay |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Kyzylzhar | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 13 | FK Atyrau | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobol Kostanay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Partizan Belgrade UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Panevezys UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/07 | Panevezys UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tobol Kostanay win (38%). Probabilities: Tobol Kostanay 38%, draw 32%, Kaisar Kyzylorda 29%.
How many goals are expected in Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Tobol Kostanay 1.14 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tobol Kostanay vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.