Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Team pages: Deportes Recoleta (W) · Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Deportes Recoleta (W)1.2
Universidad de Concepcion (W)2.26
1X2
Deportes Recoleta (W)
Draw
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Recoleta (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Recoleta (W)
2–1
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
(3 last)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)3-1Deportes Recoleta (W)
- Deportes Recoleta (W)2-1Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)0-1Deportes Recoleta (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Recoleta (W) 1392 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1407
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | Draw | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 21% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Recoleta (W): 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.6 | 0.5 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 13/13/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta (W) 2–0–1 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
| 07/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 13/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 24 | 51 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola (W) | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 25 | 32 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 29 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 27 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 58 | 24 |
| 10 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 44 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 46 | 16 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 60 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 22 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 82 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola (W) | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-9 L | 0-2 L |
| Magallanes (W) | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 2-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 0-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 8 L | 1 W 0 D 8 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/08 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-9 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Concepcion (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta (W) 18%, draw 22%, Universidad de Concepcion (W) 60%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Deportes Recoleta (W) 1.2 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 2.26), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.