Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 12/08, 18:00
Prediction: Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)
Team pages: Deportes Iquique (W) · Universidad de Chile (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Deportes Iquique (W)1.28
Universidad de Chile (W)2.44
1X2
Deportes Iquique (W)
Draw
Universidad de Chile (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Iquique (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Iquique (W)
1–1–3
Universidad de Chile (W)
(5 last)
- Universidad de Chile (W)7-1Deportes Iquique (W)
- Deportes Iquique (W)1-0Universidad de Chile (W)
- Universidad de Chile (W)2-1Deportes Iquique (W)
- Deportes Iquique (W)1-1Universidad de Chile (W)
- Universidad de Chile (W)2-1Deportes Iquique (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique (W) 1466 · Universidad de Chile (W) 1551
| Deportes Iquique (W) | Draw | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1466 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile (W): 3-1-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Iquique (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 5.3 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique (W) 1–1–3 Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 7-1 HT 5-1 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 22/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 09/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 25/08/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 12/05/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 70 | 2 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 19 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 10 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 37 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 26 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 22 |
| 8 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 20 |
| 9 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Magallanes (W) | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 17 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 15 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 52 | 8 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 17 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 62 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Iquique (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Magallanes (W) | 7-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-2 L | 4-6 L |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Iquique (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique (W) 17%, draw 21%, Universidad de Chile (W) 62%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Deportes Iquique (W) 1.28 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.44), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.