Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 08/08, 07:00
Prediction: Brindabella Blues FC vs Tuggeranong Utd
Team pages: Brindabella Blues FC · Tuggeranong Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Brindabella Blues FC1.45
Tuggeranong Utd2.49
1X2
Brindabella Blues FC
Draw
Tuggeranong Utd
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Brindabella Blues FC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Tuggeranong Utd
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brindabella Blues FC
0–1–1
Tuggeranong Utd
(2 last)
- Tuggeranong Utd5-1Brindabella Blues FC
- Tuggeranong Utd1-1Brindabella Blues FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brindabella Blues FC 1409 · Tuggeranong Utd 1526
| Brindabella Blues FC | Draw | Tuggeranong Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 20% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 20% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuggeranong Utd (rating 1409 vs 1526).
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brindabella Blues FC | Tuggeranong Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.2 | 1.7 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 3.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brindabella Blues FC 0–1–1 Tuggeranong Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tuggeranong Utd | 5-1 HT 0-0 | Brindabella Blues FC |
| 02/10/22 Australia Capital Territory NPL2 | Tuggeranong Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brindabella Blues FC |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia FC | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 52 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Tuggeranong Utd | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 39 | 36 |
| 5 | Queanbeyan City | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 32 |
| 6 | Canberra Juventus | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 30 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 17 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 17 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 9 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 17 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 9 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brindabella Blues FC | Tuggeranong Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Queanbeyan City | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Canberra White Eagles | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Canberra Croatia FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Monaro Panthers | 0-9 L | 1-6 L |
| Canberra Juventus | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| O'Connor Knights | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Belconnen United | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Canberra Olympic | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Tigers FC | 0-7 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 8 L | 5 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Tuggeranong Utd (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brindabella Blues FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 04/07 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-3 | 0-9 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
Tuggeranong Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-4 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brindabella Blues FC vs Tuggeranong Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tuggeranong Utd win (60%). Probabilities: Brindabella Blues FC 21%, draw 20%, Tuggeranong Utd 60%.
How many goals are expected in Brindabella Blues FC vs Tuggeranong Utd?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Brindabella Blues FC 1.45 · Tuggeranong Utd 2.49), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brindabella Blues FC vs Tuggeranong Utd?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.