Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Harju JK Laagri (W) vs FC Elva (W)

Team pages: Harju JK Laagri (W) · FC Elva (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
Harju JK Laagri (W)2.73
FC Elva (W)1.68
1X2
60% 18% 22%
Harju JK Laagri (W) Draw FC Elva (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Harju JK Laagri (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLLLLL
FC Elva (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLDLL
Head-to-head
Harju JK Laagri (W) 3–1 FC Elva (W) (4 last)
  • FC Elva (W)0-6Harju JK Laagri (W)
  • Harju JK Laagri (W)3-2FC Elva (W)
  • Harju JK Laagri (W)6-2FC Elva (W)
  • FC Elva (W)3-1Harju JK Laagri (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Harju JK Laagri (W) 1435 · FC Elva (W) 1378
Harju JK Laagri (W)DrawFC Elva (W)
Our model59%19%22%
Market60%18%22%
Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harju JK Laagri (W) (rating 1435 vs 1378).
  • H2H favours Harju JK Laagri (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Harju JK Laagri (W)FC Elva (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 3.11.1 / 5
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.40.3 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%0/10/90%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.52.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 01.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Harju JK Laagri (W) 3–0–1 FC Elva (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
FC Elva (W)0-6
HT 0-1
Harju JK Laagri (W)
12/08/26
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
Harju JK Laagri (W)3-2
HT 2-1
FC Elva (W)
18/07/26
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
Harju JK Laagri (W)6-2
HT 1-1
FC Elva (W)
09/05/26
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
FC Elva (W)3-1
HT 2-0
Harju JK Laagri (W)

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Flora Tallinn (W) 241536 703048
2 Paide Linnameeskond (W) 231607 693448
3 Saku Sporting (W) 241428 664944
4 Viimsi JK (W) 231148 514037
5 Harju JK Laagri (W) 234316 336915
6 FC Elva (W) 233218 309711

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHarju JK Laagri (W)FC Elva (W)
Saku Sporting (W) 1-5 L 1-3 L
Viimsi JK (W) 1-3 L 3-3 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Elva (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Harju JK Laagri (W)

WDLLWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Saku Sporting (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-0 1-5 22 L
17/10 Viimsi JK (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-1 1-3 32 L
03/10 FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-4 0-6 00 L
26/09 Viimsi JK (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-2 1-3 31 L
20/09 FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-2 0-5 12 L
12/09 FC Elva (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
1-0 6-0 81 W
05/09 Paide Linnanaiskond (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-1 0-3 60 L
02/09 FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-4 1-5 42 L
29/08 Saku Sporting (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
1-0 1-1 51 D
20/08 Viimsi JK (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-0 2-0 31 W

FC Elva (W)

LLLLLLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Paide Linnameeskond (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-2 0-4 21 L
17/10 Saku Sporting (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
1-1 1-3 51 L
03/10 Viimsi JK (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-1 3-3 14 D
26/09 Paide Linnameeskond (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-4 1-9 63 L
19/09 Viimsi JK (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-2 1-9 60 L
12/09 Harju JK Laagri (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-1 0-6 91 L
05/09 Saku Sporting (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-2 1-5 12 L
23/08 Saku Sporting (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
0-1 1-4 –– L
20/08 Paide Linnameeskond (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
1-3 1-4 02 L
12/08 Harju JK Laagri (W)
Estonia Meistriliiga Women
1-2 2-3 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harju JK Laagri (W) vs FC Elva (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Harju JK Laagri (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Harju JK Laagri (W) 60%, draw 18%, FC Elva (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Harju JK Laagri (W) vs FC Elva (W)?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Harju JK Laagri (W) 2.73 · FC Elva (W) 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Harju JK Laagri (W) vs FC Elva (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.