Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 18/07, 11:30
Prediction: Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Viimsi JK (W)2.25
Saku Sporting (W)1.55
1X2
Viimsi JK (W)
Draw
Saku Sporting (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Viimsi JK (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Saku Sporting (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viimsi JK (W)
1–1–4
Saku Sporting (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viimsi JK (W) 1554 · Saku Sporting (W) 1514
| Viimsi JK (W) | Draw | Saku Sporting (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (W) (rating 1554 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Saku Sporting (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viimsi JK (W) | Saku Sporting (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 2.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK (W) 1–1–4 Saku Sporting (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Estonia Cup Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Viimsi JK (W) |
| 09/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Viimsi JK (W) |
| 08/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Viimsi JK (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 04/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Viimsi JK (W) |
| 07/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Viimsi JK (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 06/05/25 Estonia Cup Women | Viimsi JK (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Saku Sporting (W) |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Viimsi JK (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Saku Sporting (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Elva (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 7 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri (W) | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viimsi JK (W) | Saku Sporting (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Paide Linnanaiskond (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Harju JK Laagri (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Elva (W) | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viimsi JK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 15/11 | JK Tammeka Tartu (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/11 | Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Saku Sporting (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Cup Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Cup Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK (W) 53%, draw 22%, Saku Sporting (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Viimsi JK (W) 2.25 · Saku Sporting (W) 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.