Football · Australia Tasmania Championship · 01/08, 06:30

Prediction: Clarence Zebras Reserves vs New Town Eagles

Team pages: Clarence Zebras Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.47Total

Clarence Zebras Reserves1.61

New Town Eagles2.86

1X2

20% 16% 64%

Clarence Zebras Reserves Draw New Town Eagles

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Clarence Zebras Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDWWL

New Town Eagles 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWDDLW

Head-to-head

Clarence Zebras Reserves 0–6 New Town Eagles (6 last)

New Town Eagles6-1Clarence Zebras Reserves
New Town Eagles15-0Clarence Zebras Reserves
Clarence Zebras Reserves1-2New Town Eagles
New Town Eagles7-1Clarence Zebras Reserves
Clarence Zebras Reserves2-4New Town Eagles
New Town Eagles3-1Clarence Zebras Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clarence Zebras Reserves 1464 · New Town Eagles 1523

	Clarence Zebras Reserves	Draw	New Town Eagles
Our model	19%	18%	63%
Market	21%	15%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New Town Eagles (rating 1464 vs 1523).
H2H favours New Town Eagles: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Clarence Zebras Reserves	New Town Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.6	3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.5 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X6.00

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.93

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.90

Under 4.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:02 +9’	4.33	6.00	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Clarence Zebras Reserves 0–0–6 New Town Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia Tasmania Championship	New Town Eagles	6-1 HT 3-0	Clarence Zebras Reserves
21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Championship	New Town Eagles	15-0 HT 7-0	Clarence Zebras Reserves
21/03/25 Australia Tasmania Championship	Clarence Zebras Reserves	1-2 HT 0-0	New Town Eagles
05/09/24 Australia Tasmania Championship	New Town Eagles	7-1 HT 6-0	Clarence Zebras Reserves
28/06/24 Australia Tasmania Championship	Clarence Zebras Reserves	2-4 HT 1-1	New Town Eagles
25/06/22 Australia Tasmania Championship	New Town Eagles	3-1 HT 1-1	Clarence Zebras Reserves

Standings · Australia Tasmania Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart FC 2	13	9	1	3	56	20	28
2	Hobart City FC	14	8	4	2	39	24	28
3	New Town Eagles	14	7	5	2	48	17	26
4	Olympia FC Warriors	13	8	1	4	34	22	25
5	Clarence Zebras Reserves	14	7	1	6	37	34	22
6	Taroona	13	6	3	4	39	22	21
7	Hobart United	13	2	2	9	21	62	8
8	University of Tasmania	13	2	1	10	24	53	7
9	Glenorchy Knights Reserves	13	1	2	10	12	56	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Clarence Zebras Reserves	New Town Eagles
Hobart City FC	0-4 L	2-2 D
Taroona	3-1 W	0-1 L
Glenorchy Knights Reserves	8-0 W	9-0 W
Hobart United	2-2 D	6-3 W
University of Tasmania	1-4 L	1-1 D
South Hobart FC 2	1-3 L	0-3 L
Olympia FC Warriors	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: New Town Eagles (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clarence Zebras Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship	0-2	0-4	5	6	L
11/07	Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship	1-1	3-1	4	0	W
03/07	Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship	5-0	8-0	8	0	W
27/06	Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
21/06	University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship	0-2	1-4	9	4	L
13/06	South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
23/05	Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
10/05	New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship	0-3	1-6	6	1	L
02/05	Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship	1-0	3-1	1	1	W
18/04	Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

New Town Eagles

DWWDLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship	4-0	9-0	–	–	W
11/07	South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
04/07	Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/06	Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
20/06	Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship	3-2	6-3	5	1	W
13/06	Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship	3-0	6-1	10	1	W
01/05	Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
19/04	South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship	1-1	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clarence Zebras Reserves vs New Town Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an New Town Eagles win (64%). Probabilities: Clarence Zebras Reserves 20%, draw 16%, New Town Eagles 64%.

How many goals are expected in Clarence Zebras Reserves vs New Town Eagles?

The model expects 4.47 goals (Clarence Zebras Reserves 1.61 · New Town Eagles 2.86), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Clarence Zebras Reserves vs New Town Eagles?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.