Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 08/11, 11:30

Prediction: Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Trans Narva II

Team pages: Parnu JK Vaprus II · JK Trans Narva II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Parnu JK Vaprus II1.68

JK Trans Narva II1.81

1X2

35% 24% 41%

Parnu JK Vaprus II Draw JK Trans Narva II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Parnu JK Vaprus II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDWLLW

JK Trans Narva II 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWL

Head-to-head

Parnu JK Vaprus II 1–2 JK Trans Narva II (3 last)

JK Trans Narva II4-1Parnu JK Vaprus II
Parnu JK Vaprus II4-0JK Trans Narva II
JK Trans Narva II5-0Parnu JK Vaprus II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Trans Narva II (rating 1502 vs 1577).
H2H favours JK Trans Narva II: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parnu JK Vaprus II	JK Trans Narva II
Goals for / against (FT)	3.5 / 1.6	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.6	3.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.02▼	Pinn 2.02
X	4.25 → 4.31▲	Pinn 4.31
2	2.45 → 2.56▲	Pinn 2.56

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +26’	2.10	4.25	2.45
01:52 +14’	2.02▼	4.31▲	2.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Parnu JK Vaprus II 1–0–2 JK Trans Narva II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	4-1 HT 1-1	Parnu JK Vaprus II
17/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Parnu JK Vaprus II	4-0 HT 4-0	JK Trans Narva II
22/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	5-0 HT 3-0	Parnu JK Vaprus II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Trans Narva II	35	23	4	8	76	40	73
2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	35	22	3	10	87	56	69
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	35	19	4	12	93	66	61
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	35	19	3	13	82	77	60
5	Parnu JK Vaprus II	35	16	5	14	104	70	53
6	JK Viljandi Tulevik	35	16	5	14	88	75	53
7	FA Tartu Kalev	35	16	2	17	79	67	50
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	35	11	5	19	49	87	38
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	35	9	6	20	70	87	33
10	Tallinna JK Legion	35	4	3	28	30	133	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parnu JK Vaprus II	JK Trans Narva II
JK Tammeka Tartu II	2-0 W	1-0 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2-3 L	1-0 W
JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-3 L	2-1 W
Tabasalu FC Charma	2-1 W	0-0 D
JK Tallinna Kalev II	1-1 D	2-1 W
Tallinna JK Legion	12-0 W	0-3 L
FA Tartu Kalev	0-4 L	2-0 W
Johvi FC Phoenix	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parnu JK Vaprus II

WWLLWDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	2-3	3	4	L
17/10	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-3	8	8	L
14/10	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
11/10	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
18/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	5-0	12-0	6	3	W
13/09	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	0-4	7	4	L
10/09	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-3	6	8	L
06/09	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	7-0	3	0	W
30/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	5-1	7	6	W

JK Trans Narva II

WWWWWWWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
25/10	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/10	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
15/10	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/10	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
19/09	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
15/09	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
06/09	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Trans Narva II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Trans Narva II win (41%). Probabilities: Parnu JK Vaprus II 35%, draw 24%, JK Trans Narva II 41%.

How many goals are expected in Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Trans Narva II?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Parnu JK Vaprus II 1.68 · JK Trans Narva II 1.81), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Trans Narva II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.