Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 25/07, 07:00

Prediction: Gold Coast United (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Gold Coast United (W)1.72

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)1.28

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Gold Coast United (W) Draw Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gold Coast United (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWWDD

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLWLWW

Head-to-head

Gold Coast United (W) 1–1–4 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gold Coast United (W) 1529 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1511

	Gold Coast United (W)	Draw	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Our model	47%	26%	28%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gold Coast United (W)	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.7	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0.1	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:59 +9’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast United (W) 1–1–4 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast United (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
19/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Gold Coast United (W)
21/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast United (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
10/05/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Gold Coast United (W)
08/02/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Gold Coast United (W)
04/08/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Gold Coast United (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	21	15	4	2	65	16	49
2	Brisbane City (W)	22	13	7	2	51	15	46
3	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	23	14	4	5	43	20	46
4	Lions FC (W)	21	13	3	5	49	20	42
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	23	9	7	7	29	27	34
6	Gold Coast United (W)	22	8	8	6	36	31	32
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	23	8	2	13	31	36	26
8	Capalaba (W)	23	7	1	15	30	53	22
9	FQ QAS Women	23	6	1	16	43	70	19
10	Souths United NPL (W)	23	0	1	22	14	103	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gold Coast United (W)	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Brisbane City (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
FQ QAS Women	3-2 W	3-2 W
Souths United NPL (W)	12-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gold Coast United (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gold Coast United (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
14/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
11/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	3-2	6	1	W
04/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	7-0	12-0	10	2	W
30/06	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
24/06	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
21/06	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
06/06	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	1-2	8	0	L
31/05	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/05	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	2-1	2	1	W

Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)

LWLDDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
14/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
11/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
04/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-1	3-2	3	2	W
30/06	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
27/06	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
24/06	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
21/06	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-1	5-1	3	0	W
31/05	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gold Coast United (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast United (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Gold Coast United (W) 47%, draw 25%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Gold Coast United (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?

The model expects 3 goals (Gold Coast United (W) 1.72 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast United (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.