Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · 14/08, 18:15

Prediction: Sölvesborgs GoIF vs Nosaby

Team pages: Sölvesborgs GoIF · Nosaby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Sölvesborgs GoIF1.66

Nosaby1.77

1X2

36% 24% 40%

Sölvesborgs GoIF Draw Nosaby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sölvesborgs GoIF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWDWL

Nosaby 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLDWLW

Head-to-head

Sölvesborgs GoIF 4–2 Nosaby (6 last)

Nosaby2-0Sölvesborgs GoIF
Nosaby1-4Sölvesborgs GoIF
Sölvesborgs GoIF2-1Nosaby
Sölvesborgs GoIF1-2Nosaby
Nosaby0-3Sölvesborgs GoIF
Sölvesborgs GoIF4-3Nosaby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sölvesborgs GoIF 1480 · Nosaby 1484

	Sölvesborgs GoIF	Draw	Nosaby
Our model	35%	24%	40%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sölvesborgs GoIF: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sölvesborgs GoIF	Nosaby
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5.8	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +15’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sölvesborgs GoIF 4–0–2 Nosaby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	2-0 HT 0-0	Sölvesborgs GoIF
23/08/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	1-4 HT 1-1	Sölvesborgs GoIF
26/04/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Sölvesborgs GoIF	2-1 HT 0-0	Nosaby
30/10/21 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Sölvesborgs GoIF	1-2 HT 1-2	Nosaby
03/07/21 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Nosaby	0-3 HT 0-0	Sölvesborgs GoIF
15/09/18 Sweden 2.div Östra Götaland	Sölvesborgs GoIF	4-3 HT 1-3	Nosaby

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Sodra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Karlskrona	16	11	3	2	38	17	36
2	Oskarshamns AIK	16	9	3	4	35	19	30
3	IFK Berga	16	8	3	5	33	20	27
4	IFK Trelleborg	15	7	5	3	24	14	26
5	Linero IF	16	8	1	7	28	25	25
6	Osterlen FF	16	7	3	6	24	22	24
7	Nosaby	15	6	5	4	28	26	23
8	Växjö Norra	15	6	5	4	20	21	23
9	Lilla Torg FF	16	4	7	5	18	24	19
10	Staffanstorp United	16	4	6	6	27	29	18
11	Torns IF	16	6	0	10	22	42	18
12	Sölvesborgs GoIF	15	5	1	9	23	27	16
13	Räppe GOIF	16	3	4	9	16	30	13
14	IFK Karlshamn	16	2	2	12	16	36	8

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sölvesborgs GoIF	Nosaby
Osterlen FF	1-4 L	1-2 L
IFK Karlshamn	2-0 W	2-2 D
FK Karlskrona	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sölvesborgs GoIF (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sölvesborgs GoIF

LLLWLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
27/06	Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/06	Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
12/06	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/06	Torns IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-3	9	1	L
29/05	IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	2-3	2	3	L
22/05	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/05	IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/05	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	0-1	2	1	L

Nosaby

LWLDWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	3-0	4-0	4	5	W
30/07	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	1-5	3	3	L
26/07	IFK Hässleholm Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
17/06	Lilla Torg FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	3-3	6	9	D
12/06	Osterlen FF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/06	FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-1	3-1	1	2	W
30/05	IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/05	Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-5	8	2	L
16/05	Sölvesborgs GoIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	0-2	0-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sölvesborgs GoIF vs Nosaby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nosaby win (40%). Probabilities: Sölvesborgs GoIF 36%, draw 24%, Nosaby 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sölvesborgs GoIF vs Nosaby?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Sölvesborgs GoIF 1.66 · Nosaby 1.77), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sölvesborgs GoIF vs Nosaby?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.