Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Skiljebo SK vs Falu BS FK

Team pages: Skiljebo SK · Falu BS FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Skiljebo SK1.42

Falu BS FK1.29

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Skiljebo SK Draw Falu BS FK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Skiljebo SK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLWLDW

Falu BS FK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWDLWW

Head-to-head

Skiljebo SK 2–3–0 Falu BS FK (5 last)

Falu BS FK1-1Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK1-1Falu BS FK
Falu BS FK1-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK1-1Falu BS FK
Falu BS FK0-1Skiljebo SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skiljebo SK 1543 · Falu BS FK 1535

	Skiljebo SK	Draw	Falu BS FK
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Skiljebo SK: 2-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skiljebo SK	Falu BS FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.47 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +5’	2.20	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:42	2.47	3.17	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skiljebo SK 2–3–0 Falu BS FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	1-1 HT 0-1	Skiljebo SK
23/08/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	1-1 HT 1-1	Falu BS FK
01/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	1-2 HT 0-1	Skiljebo SK
22/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	1-1 HT 1-0	Falu BS FK
25/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	0-1 HT 0-1	Skiljebo SK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	14	9	4	1	37	10	31
2	Skiljebo SK	14	8	4	2	31	16	28
3	Falu BS FK	14	8	4	2	22	11	28
4	Ängby IF	14	8	4	2	24	15	28
5	Taby FK	14	8	3	3	25	13	27
6	Enskede IK	14	7	3	4	23	17	24
7	IK Franke	14	5	3	6	26	23	18
8	Bollstanäs SK	14	4	6	4	26	25	18
9	FC Gute	14	4	5	5	17	22	17
10	Viggbyholms IK	14	3	3	8	12	28	12
11	IFK Lidingo	14	2	5	7	16	26	11
12	Kungsängens IF	14	1	7	6	15	24	10
13	Korsnas IF FK	14	2	3	9	14	30	9
14	Helges IF	14	1	2	11	8	36	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skiljebo SK	Falu BS FK
IK Franke	2-2 D	2-1 W
Enskede IK	3-1 W	2-0 W
FC Gute	1-1 D	1-0 W
Korsnas IF FK	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sunnersta AIF	1-0 W	0-1 L
Bollstanäs SK	4-4 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skiljebo SK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Skiljebo SK

DWWWDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
14/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/06	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	3-1	7	3	W
30/05	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/05	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
09/05	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	4-4	–	–	D

Falu BS FK

DWLWDWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
10/06	Gefle IF Sweden Cup	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
06/06	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
24/05	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
17/05	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
09/05	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skiljebo SK vs Falu BS FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skiljebo SK win (40%). Probabilities: Skiljebo SK 40%, draw 26%, Falu BS FK 34%.

How many goals are expected in Skiljebo SK vs Falu BS FK?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Skiljebo SK 1.42 · Falu BS FK 1.29), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Skiljebo SK vs Falu BS FK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.