Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Lidingo vs Viggbyholms IK

Team pages: IFK Lidingo · Viggbyholms IK

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

IFK Lidingo1.6

Viggbyholms IK1.29

1X2

44% 25% 30%

IFK Lidingo Draw Viggbyholms IK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Lidingo 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Viggbyholms IK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

IFK Lidingo 0–1–0 Viggbyholms IK (1 last)

Viggbyholms IK2-2IFK Lidingo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Lidingo 1478 · Viggbyholms IK 1463

	IFK Lidingo	Draw	Viggbyholms IK
Our model	44%	27%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Lidingo	Viggbyholms IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.8	1.4 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.10 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +13’	2.00	3.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:29 +2’	2.10	3.35	2.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Lidingo 0–1–0 Viggbyholms IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Viggbyholms IK	2-2 HT 1-1	IFK Lidingo

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	16	11	4	1	42	11	37
2	Skiljebo SK	16	10	4	2	36	17	34
3	Ängby IF	16	10	4	2	28	17	34
4	Taby FK	16	9	3	4	31	16	30
5	Falu BS FK	16	8	4	4	23	17	28
6	Enskede IK	16	8	3	5	25	20	27
7	Bollstanäs SK	16	5	7	4	32	26	22
8	IK Franke	16	6	4	6	29	24	22
9	FC Gute	16	5	5	6	21	24	20
10	IFK Lidingo	16	3	5	8	19	29	14
11	Viggbyholms IK	16	3	3	10	13	32	12
12	Kungsängens IF	16	1	7	8	16	29	10
13	Korsnas IF FK	16	2	3	11	15	38	9
14	Helges IF	16	2	2	12	11	41	8

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Lidingo	Viggbyholms IK
Ängby IF	2-3 L	0-2 L
Taby FK	1-3 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Lidingo (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Lidingo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
01/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-3	1	4	L
27/06	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
14/06	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-3	1-3	5	5	L
07/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
31/05	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
23/05	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
10/05	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	4	7	L

Viggbyholms IK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
18/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	0	1	L
13/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
07/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
03/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden Cup Qualification	0-3	0-5	4	2	L
31/05	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	2-4	1	4	L
16/05	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Lidingo vs Viggbyholms IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Lidingo win (44%). Probabilities: IFK Lidingo 44%, draw 25%, Viggbyholms IK 30%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Lidingo vs Viggbyholms IK?

The model expects 2.89 goals (IFK Lidingo 1.6 · Viggbyholms IK 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Lidingo vs Viggbyholms IK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.