Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 16/08, 13:00

Prediction: Enskede IK vs Korsnas IF FK

Team pages: Enskede IK · Korsnas IF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Enskede IK2.36

Korsnas IF FK1.25

1X2

61% 20% 19%

Enskede IK Draw Korsnas IF FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Enskede IK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWWDWL

Korsnas IF FK 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Enskede IK 0–1 Korsnas IF FK (1 last)

Korsnas IF FK3-2Enskede IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enskede IK 1507 · Korsnas IF FK 1401

	Enskede IK	Draw	Korsnas IF FK
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	62%	20%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enskede IK (rating 1507 vs 1401).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enskede IK	Korsnas IF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	0.8 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 4.75▼	Pinn 5.32 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 15.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:33 +7’	1.44	4.50	5.00
23:21 +3’	1.44	4.50	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +1’	1.35	4.44	5.33
11:02 +3’	1.35▲	4.43▼	5.32▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enskede IK 0–0–1 Korsnas IF FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Korsnas IF FK	3-2 HT 1-1	Enskede IK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	16	11	4	1	42	11	37
2	Ängby IF	17	10	5	2	29	18	35
3	Skiljebo SK	16	10	4	2	36	17	34
4	Falu BS FK	17	9	4	4	26	18	31
5	Taby FK	16	9	3	4	31	16	30
6	Enskede IK	16	8	3	5	25	20	27
7	Bollstanäs SK	17	6	7	4	35	28	25
8	IK Franke	17	6	4	7	30	27	22
9	FC Gute	17	5	5	7	23	27	20
10	Viggbyholms IK	17	4	3	10	16	32	15
11	IFK Lidingo	17	3	5	9	19	32	14
12	Kungsängens IF	17	1	8	8	17	30	11
13	Korsnas IF FK	16	2	3	11	15	38	9
14	Helges IF	16	2	2	12	11	41	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enskede IK	Korsnas IF FK
IK Franke	0-2 L	1-3 L
Taby FK	2-1 W	1-5 L
Ängby IF	0-0 D	0-1 L
Bollstanäs SK	3-1 W	1-5 L
Skiljebo SK	1-3 L	0-2 L
Falu BS FK	0-2 L	1-2 L
Helges IF	2-1 W	0-3 L
Sunnersta AIF	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Enskede IK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enskede IK

DWLDLWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
02/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
24/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
17/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	3-1	1	3	W
13/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
06/06	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
30/05	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
24/05	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
17/05	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
09/05	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	8	4	D

Korsnas IF FK

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
01/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
27/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-5	0	2	L
21/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-4	1-4	–	–	L
14/06	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	2	6	W
06/06	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/05	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-3	4	0	L
17/05	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/05	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enskede IK vs Korsnas IF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enskede IK win (61%). Probabilities: Enskede IK 61%, draw 20%, Korsnas IF FK 19%.

How many goals are expected in Enskede IK vs Korsnas IF FK?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Enskede IK 2.36 · Korsnas IF FK 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Enskede IK vs Korsnas IF FK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.