Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 14/08, 21:15

Prediction: HK Kopavogur (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)

Team pages: HK Kopavogur (W) · KR Reykjavik (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

HK Kopavogur (W)1.78

KR Reykjavik (W)1.98

1X2

35% 23% 43%

HK Kopavogur (W) Draw KR Reykjavik (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HK Kopavogur (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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KR Reykjavik (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWLWLD

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur (W) 4–2 KR Reykjavik (W) (6 last)

KR Reykjavik (W)6-0HK Kopavogur (W)
HK Kopavogur (W)4-1KR Reykjavik (W)
KR Reykjavik (W)5-4HK Kopavogur (W)
HK Kopavogur (W)4-2KR Reykjavik (W)
KR Reykjavik (W)2-3HK Kopavogur (W)
HK Kopavogur (W)6-1KR Reykjavik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Kopavogur (W) 1527 · KR Reykjavik (W) 1525

	HK Kopavogur (W)	Draw	KR Reykjavik (W)
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HK Kopavogur (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HK Kopavogur (W)	KR Reykjavik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 6	3.4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:06 +3’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogur (W) 4–0–2 KR Reykjavik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild Women	KR Reykjavik (W)	6-0 HT 3-0	HK Kopavogur (W)
24/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women	HK Kopavogur (W)	4-1 HT 4-0	KR Reykjavik (W)
17/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women	KR Reykjavik (W)	5-4 HT 2-1	HK Kopavogur (W)
27/02/25 Iceland Cup Women	HK Kopavogur (W)	4-2 HT 4-0	KR Reykjavik (W)
17/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild Women	KR Reykjavik (W)	2-3 HT 1-0	HK Kopavogur (W)
08/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild Women	HK Kopavogur (W)	6-1 HT 3-0	KR Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Grotta (W)	13	9	2	2	32	20	29
2	KR Reykjavik (W)	12	7	2	3	29	14	23
3	HK Kopavogur (W)	13	6	2	5	29	26	20
4	Selfoss (W)	12	6	1	5	25	19	19
5	IA Akranes (W)	13	5	3	5	27	21	18
6	Haukar (W)	12	5	3	4	18	23	18
7	Keflavik (W)	12	5	2	5	28	18	17
8	Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)	12	5	2	5	22	20	17
9	Volsungur (W)	13	3	3	7	20	24	12
10	Tindastoll (W)	12	1	0	11	9	54	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Kopavogur (W)	KR Reykjavik (W)
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)	2-3 L	2-1 W
Selfoss (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Haukar (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Grotta (W)	1-3 L	0-0 D
IA Akranes (W)	2-2 D	2-3 L
Volsungur (W)	4-3 W	3-0 W
Tindastoll (W)	7-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogur (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Kopavogur (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
29/07	Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
24/07	Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
17/07	Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
10/07	IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
04/07	Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	2-0	4-3	3	1	W
21/06	Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
13/06	Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	7-0	7-0	–	–	W
30/05	KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-3	0-6	6	2	L
25/05	Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D

KR Reykjavik (W)

WLWWDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
23/07	IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/07	Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-0	3-0	5	1	W
09/07	Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-0	1-2	11	1	L
27/06	Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
21/06	Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
14/06	Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	3-0	6-0	5	2	W
25/05	Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
20/05	IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women	1-1	3-2	10	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogur (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KR Reykjavik (W) win (43%). Probabilities: HK Kopavogur (W) 35%, draw 23%, KR Reykjavik (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in HK Kopavogur (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)?

The model expects 3.76 goals (HK Kopavogur (W) 1.78 · KR Reykjavik (W) 1.98), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HK Kopavogur (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.